15 related strategies (⧉ identical code, ≈ similar name)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 | # SupertrendFuturesStrategyV8_2 - 平衡版 # 在V8基础上,只放宽最关键的指标 import numpy as np import pandas as pd from pandas import DataFrame from datetime import datetime from typing import Optional from functools import reduce import logging from freqtrade.strategy import IStrategy, DecimalParameter, IntParameter import talib.abstract as ta logger = logging.getLogger(__name__) class SupertrendFuturesStrategyV8_2(IStrategy): """ V8.2: 平衡版(收益 + 频率) 基于V8,只放宽最关键的1个指标: V8.1问题: - 放宽太多,信号质量下降 - 收益和胜率都不如V4 V8.2策略: 1. 保持V8的所有核心过滤 2. **只放宽Alpha#101阈值**: 0.1 → 0.07 (中等宽松) 3. 其他指标保持V8设置 目标: - 交易次数: 36 → 45 (提升25%) - 收益: 保持8%+ - 胜率: 保持65%+ """ INTERFACE_VERSION = 3 # V4最优参数 atr_period = IntParameter(5, 30, default=11, space="buy") atr_multiplier = DecimalParameter(2.0, 5.0, default=2.884, space="buy") ema_fast = IntParameter(5, 50, default=48, space="buy") ema_slow = IntParameter(20, 200, default=151, space="buy") adx_threshold_long = IntParameter(20, 35, default=33, space="buy") adx_threshold_short = IntParameter(15, 30, default=23, space="buy") # V8.2优化参数 alpha_threshold = DecimalParameter(0.05, 0.12, default=0.07, space="buy") # V8: 0.1, V8.1: 0.05 minimal_roi = {"0": 0.06} stoploss = -0.03 timeframe = '30m' trailing_stop = True trailing_stop_positive = 0.02 trailing_stop_positive_offset = 0.03 trailing_only_offset_is_reached = True startup_candle_count = 200 order_types = { 'entry': 'limit', 'exit': 'limit', 'stoploss': 'market', 'stoploss_on_exchange': False } can_short: bool = True leverage_default = 2 def supertrend(self, dataframe, period=14, multiplier=3): df = dataframe.copy() hl2 = (df['high'] + df['low']) / 2 atr = ta.ATR(df, timeperiod=period) upperband = hl2 + (multiplier * atr) lowerband = hl2 - (multiplier * atr) supertrend = [0] * len(df) direction = [1] * len(df) for i in range(1, len(df)): if df['close'].iloc[i] > upperband.iloc[i-1]: direction[i] = 1 elif df['close'].iloc[i] < lowerband.iloc[i-1]: direction[i] = -1 else: direction[i] = direction[i-1] supertrend[i] = lowerband.iloc[i] if direction[i] == 1 else upperband.iloc[i] return pd.Series(supertrend, index=df.index), pd.Series(direction, index=df.index) def leverage(self, pair, current_time, current_rate, proposed_leverage, max_leverage, entry_tag, side, **kwargs): return min(self.leverage_default, max_leverage) def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: # === V4 核心指标 === dataframe['ema_fast'] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=self.ema_fast.value) dataframe['ema_slow'] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=self.ema_slow.value) dataframe['supertrend'], dataframe['st_dir'] = self.supertrend( dataframe, period=self.atr_period.value, multiplier=self.atr_multiplier.value ) dataframe['rsi'] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['adx'] = ta.ADX(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['adx_pos'] = ta.PLUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['adx_neg'] = ta.MINUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['atr'] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['volume_ma'] = dataframe['volume'].rolling(20).mean() dataframe['ema_200'] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=200) dataframe['is_uptrend'] = dataframe['close'] > dataframe['ema_200'] dataframe['is_downtrend'] = dataframe['close'] < dataframe['ema_200'] # === V8 多因子指标 === dataframe['alpha_101'] = ( (dataframe['close'] - dataframe['open']) / (dataframe['high'] - dataframe['low'] + 0.001) ) dataframe['alpha_54'] = ( (dataframe['close'] - dataframe['close'].shift(5)) / dataframe['close'].shift(5) ) dataframe['volatility_ratio'] = ( dataframe['atr'] / dataframe['close'] ) dataframe['trend_score'] = 0 dataframe.loc[dataframe['adx'] > 30, 'trend_score'] += 1 dataframe.loc[dataframe['adx'] > 35, 'trend_score'] += 1 dataframe.loc[abs(dataframe['alpha_54']) > 0.05, 'trend_score'] += 1 return dataframe def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: """做多 - V8.2平衡版""" dataframe.loc[:, 'enter_long'] = 0 conditions = [ # === V4 核心条件 === dataframe['st_dir'] == 1, dataframe['ema_fast'] > dataframe['ema_slow'], dataframe['adx'] > self.adx_threshold_long.value, dataframe['adx_pos'] > dataframe['adx_neg'], dataframe['close'] > dataframe['supertrend'], dataframe['is_uptrend'], # === V8 核心过滤(保持不变)=== (dataframe['rsi'] > 40) & (dataframe['rsi'] < 75), # 保持V8 dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['volume_ma'] * 1.2, # 保持V8 dataframe['trend_score'] >= 1, # 保持V8 dataframe['volatility_ratio'] < 0.05, # 保持V8 # === V8.2 唯一调整 === # Alpha#101阈值: 0.1 → 0.07 (中等宽松) dataframe['alpha_101'] > self.alpha_threshold.value, ] if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'enter_long'] = 1 return dataframe def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: dataframe.loc[:, 'exit_long'] = 0 conditions = [dataframe['st_dir'] == -1] if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'exit_long'] = 1 return dataframe def populate_entry_trend_short(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: """做空 - V8.2平衡版""" dataframe.loc[:, 'enter_short'] = 0 conditions = [ dataframe['st_dir'] == -1, dataframe['ema_fast'] < dataframe['ema_slow'], dataframe['adx'] > self.adx_threshold_short.value, dataframe['adx_neg'] > dataframe['adx_pos'], dataframe['close'] < dataframe['supertrend'], dataframe['is_downtrend'], (dataframe['rsi'] > 25) & (dataframe['rsi'] < 60), dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['volume_ma'] * 1.2, dataframe['trend_score'] >= 1, dataframe['volatility_ratio'] < 0.05, dataframe['alpha_101'] < -self.alpha_threshold.value, ] if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'enter_short'] = 1 return dataframe def populate_exit_trend_short(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: DataFrame) -> DataFrame: dataframe.loc[:, 'exit_short'] = 0 conditions = [dataframe['st_dir'] == 1] if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'exit_short'] = 1 return dataframe # === V8.2 调整说明 === """ V8.2 vs V8 vs V8.1 对比: 指标 V8 V8.1 V8.2 -------------------------------------------- Alpha#101 0.1 0.05 0.07 ← 唯一调整 RSI范围 40-75 35-80 40-75 保持V8 成交量 1.2倍 1.1倍 1.2倍 保持V8 趋势评分 >= 1 移除 >= 1 保持V8 波动率 0.05 0.06 0.05 保持V8 V8.2策略: - 只放宽Alpha#101(最关键的日内趋势指标) - 其他保持V8的严格过滤 - 目标:提升交易频率,同时保持V8的高质量 预期效果: - 交易次数: 36 → 42-45 - 收益: 保持8%+ - 胜率: 66-68% - 回撤: < 5% """ |
Strategy League — fixed backtest that feeds the ranking
Export report Freqtrade logsRun finished · took 207.4s
ℹ️ This strategy uses a trailing stop — freqtrade only
re-checks these once per 30m candle by default, not against the price movement within it.
For a more accurate read, re-run this backtest locally with --timeframe-detail 1m. Freqle doesn't do this for every check here: multiplying every
League/sweep backtest by a finer detail timeframe is more compute than the sandbox can sustain
across every indexed strategy. why this matters →
- profit isn't statistically significant (p=1.00) — hard to tell apart from luck
- only 0% of resampled runs were profitable
- profitable in only 0% of rolling 3-month windows
- did not beat simply holding the market
- very deep drawdown (-90%)
Resampling the trade sequence 2,000× shows the spread of results this edge could plausibly produce — separating a dependable strategy from one that got lucky once.
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Monthly breakdown
| Month | Regime | Trades | Profit % | Avg % | Win | Loss | Win % | DD % | Avg dur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2023 | bullish trending low vol | 18 | -0.54 | -0.31 | 9 | 9 | 50.0 | -90.25 | 7h 43m |
| Dec 2022 | bearish trending low vol | 42 | -5.43 | -1.30 | 13 | 29 | 31.0 | -89.72 | 5h 52m |
| Nov 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 66 | -2.19 | -0.33 | 29 | 37 | 43.9 | -85.25 | 2h 31m |
| Oct 2022 | bullish choppy low vol | 83 | -7.48 | -0.90 | 34 | 49 | 41.0 | -82.37 | 4h 16m |
| Sep 2022 | bearish choppy high vol | 90 | -3.28 | -0.37 | 41 | 49 | 45.6 | -75.15 | 2h 25m |
| Aug 2022 | bullish choppy high vol | 98 | -6.97 | -0.71 | 40 | 58 | 40.8 | -72.19 | 2h 50m |
| Jul 2022 | bullish trending high vol | 195 | +1.96 | 0.10 | 94 | 101 | 48.2 | -71.49 | 1h 34m |
| Jun 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 80 | -4.46 | -0.57 | 31 | 49 | 38.8 | -67.14 | 1h 06m |
| May 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 60 | -3.21 | -0.53 | 25 | 35 | 41.7 | -64.69 | 1h 43m |
| Apr 2022 | bearish choppy high vol | 21 | -2.76 | -1.39 | 5 | 16 | 23.8 | -60.28 | 2h 46m |
| Mar 2022 | bullish choppy high vol | 192 | -6.72 | -0.36 | 89 | 103 | 46.4 | -59.02 | 2h 05m |
| Feb 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 115 | +3.33 | 0.29 | 65 | 50 | 56.5 | -53.89 | 3h 09m |
| Jan 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 57 | -2.75 | -0.51 | 25 | 32 | 43.9 | -53.92 | 2h 14m |
| Dec 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 78 | -1.63 | -0.25 | 36 | 42 | 46.2 | -53.95 | 1h 53m |
| Nov 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 113 | -0.76 | -0.08 | 58 | 55 | 51.3 | -49.56 | 2h 02m |
| Oct 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 133 | -9.89 | -0.77 | 50 | 83 | 37.6 | -48.89 | 1h 42m |
| Sep 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 142 | -3.45 | -0.27 | 61 | 81 | 43.0 | -39.28 | 1h 30m |
| Aug 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 174 | -2.28 | -0.13 | 81 | 93 | 46.6 | -37.42 | 1h 00m |
| Jul 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 186 | -19.50 | -1.07 | 66 | 120 | 35.5 | -33.75 | 1h 45m |
| Jun 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 87 | -0.95 | -0.12 | 43 | 44 | 49.4 | -17.88 | 1h 03m |
| May 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 69 | -0.49 | -0.08 | 30 | 39 | 43.5 | -15.65 | 0h 58m |
| Apr 2021 | bearish choppy high vol | 212 | -3.57 | -0.17 | 88 | 124 | 41.5 | -14.96 | 0h 31m |
| Mar 2021 | bullish choppy high vol | 142 | -0.71 | -0.05 | 62 | 80 | 43.7 | -13.36 | 0h 49m |
| Feb 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 223 | -1.84 | -0.09 | 95 | 128 | 42.6 | -15.17 | 0h 23m |
| Jan 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 218 | -4.32 | -0.20 | 88 | 130 | 40.4 | -8.02 | 0h 23m |
Yearly breakdown
| Year | Trades | Profit % | Avg % | Win | Loss | Win % | DD % | Avg dur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | -0.54 | -0.31 | 9 | 9 | 50.0 | -90.25 | 7h 43m |
| 2022 | 1099 | -39.96 | -0.37 | 491 | 608 | 44.7 | -89.72 | 2h 28m |
| 2021 | 1777 | -49.39 | -0.29 | 758 | 1019 | 42.7 | -53.95 | 1h 03m |
Trade charts — best 2 and worst 2 performing pairs (full OHLC candles are expensive to render for every pair)
Backtests — over a market period
Backtest this strategy over a chosen crypto-cycle period. These don't affect the League ranking, and need that period's candle data downloaded.
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| Period | Range | Total % | Win % | Max DD | Trades | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · DeFi Summer & Pre-Halving Rally | 20200101-20210101 | not run | ||||
| 2021 · Institutional Bull Market | 20210101-20220101 | not run | ||||
| 2022 · Post-Bull Crash & Macro Tightening | 20220101-20230101 | not run | ||||
| 2023–2024 · Recovery & ETF Anticipation | 20230101-20250101 | not run | ||||
| 2025–2026 · Current Cycle | 20250101-20260101 | not run | ||||
Walk forward
Out-of-sample backtest on recent data · 33 pairs · 20260101-20260701.
Backtest trust check
no lookahead patterns · 1 thing(s) worth reviewing before trusting the numbers
| Line | Pattern | Detail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | review | startup_candles_too_small | startup_candle_count is 200, but EMA(timeperiod=200) needing 3x warmup needs at least 600 candles -- so the first 400+ candles of every backtest use an indicator that hasn't warmed up. Recursive indicators (EMA/RSI/ADX/ATR) want several times their period, not exactly it |
ran by Ron · took s
Lookahead analysis
freqtrade lookahead-analysis: detects strategies peeking at future candles.