15 related strategies (⧉ identical code, ≈ similar name)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 | # SupertrendFuturesStrategyV4 - 15m 优化版 # 更新时间: 2026-02-21 20:31 # 优化数据: 173 天 15m 数据 import numpy as np import pandas as pd from pandas import DataFrame from datetime import datetime from typing import Optional from functools import reduce from freqtrade.strategy import IStrategy, DecimalParameter, IntParameter import talib.abstract as ta class SupertrendFuturesStrategyV4(IStrategy): INTERFACE_VERSION = 3 # 参数 - 15m 优化后(173天数据) atr_period = IntParameter(5, 30, default=29, space="buy") atr_multiplier = DecimalParameter(2.0, 5.0, default=3.476, space="buy") ema_fast = IntParameter(5, 50, default=37, space="buy") ema_slow = IntParameter(20, 200, default=174, space="buy") # ADX 参数 - 15m 优化后 adx_threshold_long = IntParameter(20, 35, default=35, space="buy") adx_threshold_short = IntParameter(15, 30, default=21, space="buy") minimal_roi = {"0": 0.06} stoploss = -0.03 # 3% (最优止损) timeframe = '30m' # 2026-02-22: 15m -> 30m (回测显示30m表现更优) trailing_stop = True trailing_stop_positive = 0.02 trailing_stop_positive_offset = 0.03 trailing_only_offset_is_reached = True startup_candle_count = 200 order_types = { 'entry': 'limit', 'exit': 'limit', 'stoploss': 'market', 'stoploss_on_exchange': False } can_short: bool = True leverage_default = 2 def supertrend(self, dataframe, period=14, multiplier=3): df = dataframe.copy() hl2 = (df['high'] + df['low']) / 2 atr = ta.ATR(df, timeperiod=period) upperband = hl2 + (multiplier * atr) lowerband = hl2 - (multiplier * atr) supertrend = [0] * len(df) direction = [1] * len(df) for i in range(1, len(df)): if df['close'].iloc[i] > upperband.iloc[i-1]: direction[i] = 1 elif df['close'].iloc[i] < lowerband.iloc[i-1]: direction[i] = -1 else: direction[i] = direction[i-1] supertrend[i] = lowerband.iloc[i] if direction[i] == 1 else upperband.iloc[i] return pd.Series(supertrend, index=df.index), pd.Series(direction, index=df.index) def leverage(self, pair, current_time, current_rate, proposed_leverage, max_leverage, entry_tag, side, **kwargs): return min(self.leverage_default, max_leverage) def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: dataframe['ema_fast'] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=self.ema_fast.value) dataframe['ema_slow'] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=self.ema_slow.value) dataframe['supertrend'], dataframe['st_dir'] = self.supertrend( dataframe, period=self.atr_period.value, multiplier=self.atr_multiplier.value ) dataframe['rsi'] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['adx'] = ta.ADX(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['adx_pos'] = ta.PLUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['adx_neg'] = ta.MINUS_DI(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['atr'] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14) dataframe['volume_ma'] = dataframe['volume'].rolling(20).mean() # 趋势判断:EMA 200 判断大趋势 dataframe['ema_200'] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=200) dataframe['is_uptrend'] = dataframe['close'] > dataframe['ema_200'] dataframe['is_downtrend'] = dataframe['close'] < dataframe['ema_200'] return dataframe def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: """做多 - 优化版""" dataframe.loc[:, 'enter_long'] = 0 conditions = [ dataframe['st_dir'] == 1, dataframe['ema_fast'] > dataframe['ema_slow'], dataframe['adx'] > self.adx_threshold_long.value, dataframe['adx_pos'] > dataframe['adx_neg'], dataframe['rsi'] < 70, dataframe['volume'] > dataframe['volume_ma'], dataframe['close'] > dataframe['supertrend'], dataframe['is_uptrend'], ] if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'enter_long'] = 1 return dataframe def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: dataframe.loc[:, 'exit_long'] = 0 conditions = [dataframe['st_dir'] == -1] if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'exit_long'] = 1 return dataframe def populate_entry_trend_short(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: """做空 - 优化版""" dataframe.loc[:, 'enter_short'] = 0 conditions = [ dataframe['st_dir'] == -1, dataframe['ema_fast'] < dataframe['ema_slow'], dataframe['adx'] > self.adx_threshold_short.value, dataframe['adx_neg'] > dataframe['adx_pos'], dataframe['rsi'] > 30, dataframe['close'] < dataframe['supertrend'], dataframe['is_downtrend'], ] if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'enter_short'] = 1 return dataframe def populate_exit_trend_short(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: dataframe.loc[:, 'exit_short'] = 0 conditions = [dataframe['st_dir'] == 1] if conditions: dataframe.loc[reduce(lambda x, y: x & y, conditions), 'exit_short'] = 1 return dataframe |
Strategy League — fixed backtest that feeds the ranking
Export report Freqtrade logsRun finished · took 215.3s
ℹ️ This strategy uses a trailing stop — freqtrade only
re-checks these once per 30m candle by default, not against the price movement within it.
For a more accurate read, re-run this backtest locally with --timeframe-detail 1m. Freqle doesn't do this for every check here: multiplying every
League/sweep backtest by a finer detail timeframe is more compute than the sandbox can sustain
across every indexed strategy. why this matters →
- profit isn't statistically significant (p=1.00) — hard to tell apart from luck
- only 0% of resampled runs were profitable
- profitable in only 0% of rolling 3-month windows
- did not beat simply holding the market
- very deep drawdown (-91%)
Resampling the trade sequence 2,000× shows the spread of results this edge could plausibly produce — separating a dependable strategy from one that got lucky once.
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Monthly breakdown
| Month | Regime | Trades | Profit % | Avg % | Win | Loss | Win % | DD % | Avg dur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2022 | bullish trending high vol | 129 | -4.41 | -0.35 | 59 | 70 | 45.7 | -90.72 | 1h 20m |
| Jun 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 86 | -10.91 | -1.28 | 26 | 60 | 30.2 | -86.59 | 1h 13m |
| May 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 57 | -4.29 | -0.77 | 21 | 36 | 36.8 | -77.55 | 2h 15m |
| Apr 2022 | bearish choppy high vol | 55 | -3.25 | -0.63 | 23 | 32 | 41.8 | -72.96 | 1h 42m |
| Mar 2022 | bullish choppy high vol | 223 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 111 | 112 | 49.8 | -71.66 | 2h 03m |
| Feb 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 109 | -1.65 | -0.15 | 57 | 52 | 52.3 | -70.17 | 2h 03m |
| Jan 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 94 | -3.55 | -0.40 | 43 | 51 | 45.7 | -68.2 | 1h 59m |
| Dec 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 123 | -3.00 | -0.26 | 56 | 67 | 45.5 | -66.55 | 1h 44m |
| Nov 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 156 | -9.01 | -0.57 | 69 | 87 | 44.2 | -61.47 | 1h 56m |
| Oct 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 207 | -9.28 | -0.46 | 94 | 113 | 45.4 | -53.21 | 2h 08m |
| Sep 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 215 | -9.08 | -0.43 | 91 | 124 | 42.3 | -44.67 | 1h 42m |
| Aug 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 326 | -1.99 | -0.06 | 160 | 166 | 49.1 | -36.47 | 1h 20m |
| Jul 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 298 | -12.77 | -0.43 | 134 | 164 | 45.0 | -34.18 | 1h 48m |
| Jun 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 133 | -3.55 | -0.27 | 64 | 69 | 48.1 | -25.99 | 1h 19m |
| May 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 159 | -1.54 | -0.14 | 66 | 93 | 41.5 | -19.56 | 0h 31m |
| Apr 2021 | bearish choppy high vol | 380 | -5.02 | -0.14 | 172 | 208 | 45.3 | -19.36 | 0h 34m |
| Mar 2021 | bullish choppy high vol | 324 | -6.83 | -0.23 | 152 | 172 | 46.9 | -14.61 | 1h 02m |
| Feb 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 483 | +9.47 | 0.20 | 235 | 248 | 48.7 | -17.62 | 0h 37m |
| Jan 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 507 | -9.29 | -0.18 | 214 | 293 | 42.2 | -15.61 | 0h 22m |
Yearly breakdown
| Year | Trades | Profit % | Avg % | Win | Loss | Win % | DD % | Avg dur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 753 | -28.22 | -0.39 | 340 | 413 | 45.2 | -90.72 | 1h 49m |
| 2021 | 3311 | -61.89 | -0.19 | 1507 | 1804 | 45.5 | -66.55 | 1h 05m |
Trade charts — best 2 and worst 2 performing pairs (full OHLC candles are expensive to render for every pair)
Backtests — over a market period
Backtest this strategy over a chosen crypto-cycle period. These don't affect the League ranking, and need that period's candle data downloaded.
Log in or sign up to run backtests.
| Period | Range | Total % | Win % | Max DD | Trades | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · DeFi Summer & Pre-Halving Rally | 20200101-20210101 | not run | ||||
| 2021 · Institutional Bull Market | 20210101-20220101 | not run | ||||
| 2022 · Post-Bull Crash & Macro Tightening | 20220101-20230101 | not run | ||||
| 2023–2024 · Recovery & ETF Anticipation | 20230101-20250101 | not run | ||||
| 2025–2026 · Current Cycle | 20250101-20260101 | not run | ||||
Walk forward
Out-of-sample backtest on recent data · 33 pairs · 20260101-20260701.
Backtest trust check
no lookahead patterns · 1 thing(s) worth reviewing before trusting the numbers
| Line | Pattern | Detail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | review | startup_candles_too_small | startup_candle_count is 200, but EMA(timeperiod=200) needing 3x warmup needs at least 600 candles -- so the first 400+ candles of every backtest use an indicator that hasn't warmed up. Recursive indicators (EMA/RSI/ADX/ATR) want several times their period, not exactly it |
ran by Ron · took s
Lookahead analysis
freqtrade lookahead-analysis: detects strategies peeking at future candles.