15 related strategies (⧉ identical code, ≈ similar name)
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value.lower() in {"1", "true", "yes", "on"} class VideoDoubleMaFuturesStrategy(IStrategy): """Gate USDT 永续合约版:视频六均线策略的多空实现。 视频核心规则: - 3 条 MA:5、10、30 - 3 条 EMA:5、10、30 - 均线密集后等待方向选择。 - 方向突破后,重点观察第一次回踩/反抽 5 线。 本策略使用 1h 作为主操作周期,允许做多和做空。 回测采用“名义仓位等效法”:真实意图是 100U 保证金 * 100x = 10000U 名义仓位, 且账户有 10000U 作为全仓风险缓冲。由于 Freqtrade 2026.4 不支持 Gate cross futures 回测,这里用 10000U stake + 1x leverage 模拟相同名义仓位和接近 1x 的账户有效杠杆。 """ INTERFACE_VERSION = 3 timeframe = "1h" informative_timeframe = "4h" daily_timeframe = "1d" can_short = True process_only_new_candles = True # 递归分析显示 ma_width 在 499 根启动 K 线后基本收敛。 startup_candle_count = 499 target_notional_stake = _env_float("VDM_TARGET_STAKE", 10000.0) target_leverage = _env_float("VDM_TARGET_LEVERAGE", 2.0) trend_continuation_leverage = _env_float("VDM_TREND_CONT_LEVERAGE", 2.0) # 等效账户杠杆默认 2x:10000U 保证金 * 2x = 20000U 名义仓位。 # 硬止损随等效杠杆放宽,避免在结构止损前被全局 stoploss 截断。 stoploss = _env_float("VDM_GLOBAL_STOPLOSS", -0.06) # 止盈由 custom_exit 按入场止损点动态计算,这里设置成极高值,避免全局 ROI 表提前接管。 minimal_roi = { "0": 1000.0, } trailing_stop = False use_custom_stoploss = True use_exit_signal = True exit_profit_only = False ignore_roi_if_entry_signal = False # 5/10/30 六均线密集必须像人工红框一样:走平、粘合、组距收缩、价格横盘。 ma_cluster_width_threshold = 0.025 ma_cluster_quantile_window = 180 ma_cluster_quantile = 0.55 ma_cluster_compression_window = 24 ma_cluster_recent_compression_ratio = 0.92 ma_flat_slope_lookback = 6 ma_flat_slope_threshold = 0.012 ma_group_contract_window = 12 ma_group_contract_ratio = 0.92 sideways_lookback = 12 sideways_range_atr_max = 3.2 sideways_range_pct_max = 0.045 cluster_price_atr_tolerance = 1.2 cluster_confirm_window = 6 cluster_confirm_min_bars = 4 cluster_breakout_window = 96 pullback_window = 96 direction_slope_lookback = 3 strong_breakout_score_threshold = 4 weak_breakout_score_threshold = 3 strong_breakout_pct_buffer = 0.0008 strong_breakout_atr_buffer = 0.10 weak_breakout_ma_tolerance_atr = 0.30 body_line_tolerance_pct = 0.001 cluster_line_tolerance_atr = 0.15 pullback_reclaim_window = _env_int("VDM_PULLBACK_RECLAIM_WINDOW", 3) pullback_confirm_score_threshold = _env_int("VDM_PULLBACK_SCORE", 3) pullback_confirm_zone_atr_buffer = _env_float("VDM_ZONE_ATR_BUFFER", 0.05) pullback_confirm_zone_pct_buffer = _env_float("VDM_ZONE_PCT_BUFFER", 0.0025) pullback_confirm_body_pct_min = _env_float("VDM_BODY_PCT_MIN", 0.001) trade_strong_breakouts = _env_bool("VDM_TRADE_STRONG", True) trade_weak_breakouts = _env_bool("VDM_TRADE_WEAK", True) body_stop_atr_buffer = _env_float("VDM_BODY_STOP_ATR_BUFFER", 0.15) cluster_stop_atr_buffer = _env_float("VDM_CLUSTER_STOP_ATR_BUFFER", 0.30) use_wide_cluster_stop_for_weak = _env_bool("VDM_USE_WIDE_CLUSTER_STOP", False) invalid_break_atr_buffer = 0.15 stop_atr_buffer = 0.15 pullback_touch_tolerance = 0.002 swing_lookback = _env_int("VDM_SWING_LOOKBACK", 120) pivot_left_bars = _env_int("VDM_PIVOT_LEFT", 8) pivot_right_bars = _env_int("VDM_PIVOT_RIGHT", 4) use_pivot_structure = _env_bool("VDM_USE_PIVOT_STRUCTURE", True) swing_stop_policy = _env_int("VDM_SWING_STOP_POLICY", 1) swing_stop_atr_buffer = _env_float("VDM_SWING_STOP_ATR_BUFFER", 0.10) swing_stop_min_risk_pct = _env_float("VDM_SWING_STOP_MIN_RISK_PCT", 0.002) swing_stop_max_risk_pct = _env_float("VDM_SWING_STOP_MAX_RISK_PCT", 0.028) risk_reward_min = _env_float("VDM_RR_MIN", 2.3) risk_reward_preferred = _env_float("VDM_RR_PREF", 3.5) structure_target_max_rr = _env_float("VDM_STRUCTURE_TARGET_MAX_RR", 5.0) trend_structure_target_max_rr = _env_float("VDM_TREND_TARGET_MAX_RR", 7.0) use_htf_context = _env_bool("VDM_USE_HTF_CONTEXT", True) use_htf_filter = _env_bool("VDM_USE_HTF_FILTER", True) htf_score_min = _env_int("VDM_HTF_SCORE_MIN", 3) htf_trend_score_min = _env_int("VDM_HTF_TREND_SCORE_MIN", 4) htf_slope_min = _env_float("VDM_HTF_SLOPE_MIN", 0.0) # 趋势中继作为可选增强项保留:验证段没有稳定优于原策略,因此默认不强制开启。 trade_trend_continuation = _env_bool("VDM_TRADE_TREND_CONTINUATION", False) trend_continuation_long = _env_bool("VDM_TREND_CONT_LONG", True) trend_continuation_short = _env_bool("VDM_TREND_CONT_SHORT", False) trend_continuation_score_min = _env_int("VDM_TREND_CONT_SCORE", 5) trend_continuation_htf_score_min = _env_int("VDM_TREND_CONT_HTF_SCORE", 4) use_daily_trend_context = _env_bool("VDM_USE_DAILY_TREND_CONTEXT", True) trend_continuation_daily_score_min = _env_int("VDM_TREND_CONT_DAILY_SCORE", 4) trend_continuation_daily_require_order = _env_bool("VDM_TREND_CONT_DAILY_ORDER", True) trend_continuation_pullback_atr = _env_float("VDM_TREND_CONT_PULLBACK_ATR", 0.25) trend_continuation_stop_atr = _env_float("VDM_TREND_CONT_STOP_ATR", 0.20) trend_continuation_min_extension_atr = _env_float("VDM_TREND_CONT_MIN_EXTENSION_ATR", 0.80) trend_continuation_max_extension_atr = _env_float("VDM_TREND_CONT_MAX_EXTENSION_ATR", 3.50) trend_continuation_cooldown = _env_int("VDM_TREND_CONT_COOLDOWN", 72) # 0 = 周末正常开仓;1 = 周末保守开仓,固定小止盈/密集框止损;2 = 周末不新开仓。 weekend_entry_mode = _env_int("VDM_WEEKEND_MODE", 0) weekend_profit_target = _env_float("VDM_WEEKEND_PROFIT_TARGET", 0.008) weekend_stop_atr_buffer = _env_float("VDM_WEEKEND_STOP_ATR_BUFFER", 0.05) # 额外的 1-2 根 K 假突破早退默认关闭;计划结构止损已由 custom_stoploss 提前执行。 early_fail_window = _env_int("VDM_EARLY_FAIL_WINDOW", 0) early_fail_atr_buffer = _env_float("VDM_EARLY_FAIL_ATR_BUFFER", 0.05) early_fail_max_profit = _env_float("VDM_EARLY_FAIL_MAX_PROFIT", 0.002) # 趋势不强时 +2% 后保护利润;趋势强时延后到 +5%,尽量吃到更大波段。 large_profit_trailing_start = _env_float("VDM_TRAIL_START", 0.02) trend_profit_trailing_start = _env_float("VDM_TREND_TRAIL_START", 0.05) trail_normal_enabled = _env_bool("VDM_TRAIL_NORMAL", False) trail_trend_enabled = _env_bool("VDM_TRAIL_TREND", True) large_profit_retrace_ratio = _env_float("VDM_RETRACE_RATIO", 0.50) trend_profit_retrace_ratio = _env_float("VDM_TREND_RETRACE_RATIO", 0.60) plot_config = { "main_plot": { "ma_5": {"color": "#0891b2"}, "ema_5": {"color": "#14b8a6"}, "ma_10": {"color": "#facc15"}, "ema_10": {"color": "#f59e0b"}, "ma_30": {"color": "#7c3aed"}, "ema_30": {"color": "#a855f7"}, }, "subplots": { "MA width": { "ma_width": {"color": "#64748b"}, } }, } def bot_start(self, **kwargs) -> None: self._trade_peak_profit: dict[str, float] = {} def informative_pairs(self): dp = getattr(self, "dp", None) if dp is None: return [] use_4h = self.use_htf_context or self.use_htf_filter or self.trade_trend_continuation use_1d = self.use_daily_trend_context and self.trade_trend_continuation if not (use_4h or use_1d): return [] pairs = [] for pair in dp.current_whitelist(): if use_4h: pairs.append((pair, self.informative_timeframe)) if use_1d: pairs.append((pair, self.daily_timeframe)) return list(dict.fromkeys(pairs)) @staticmethod def _sma(series: pd.Series, window: int) -> pd.Series: return series.rolling(window, min_periods=window).mean() @staticmethod def _ema(series: pd.Series, window: int) -> pd.Series: return series.ewm(span=window, adjust=False, min_periods=window).mean() def leverage( self, pair: str, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, proposed_leverage: float, max_leverage: float, entry_tag: str | None, side: str, **kwargs, ) -> float: if entry_tag and "trend_continuation" in entry_tag: return max(1.0, min(self.trend_continuation_leverage, max_leverage)) return max(1.0, min(self.target_leverage, max_leverage)) def custom_stake_amount( self, pair: str, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, proposed_stake: float, min_stake: float | None, max_stake: float, leverage: float, entry_tag: str | None, side: str, **kwargs, ) -> float: stake = min(self.target_notional_stake, max_stake) if min_stake is not None: stake = max(stake, min_stake) return stake def custom_stoploss( self, pair: str, trade, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, current_profit: float, after_fill: bool, **kwargs, ) -> float | None: """把人工策略里的结构止损价转换成真实止损。 `custom_exit` 只能在 K 线收盘后判断结构失效,长实体假突破会让亏损变大。 这里使用入场 K 线记录的突破实体线、密集区边界和前高/前低,提前挂出计划止损。 """ dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair=pair, timeframe=self.timeframe) if dataframe.empty: return self.stoploss candles_until_now = self._candles_until(dataframe, current_time) if candles_until_now.empty: return self.stoploss entry_candle = self._entry_candle(candles_until_now, trade) if entry_candle is None: return self.stoploss entry_tag = getattr(trade, "enter_tag", None) or getattr(trade, "entry_tag", None) or "" is_short = bool(getattr(trade, "is_short", False)) stop_rate = self._planned_stop_rate(entry_candle, entry_tag, is_short) if stop_rate is None: return self.stoploss leverage = float(getattr(trade, "leverage", self.target_leverage) or self.target_leverage) return stoploss_from_absolute( float(stop_rate), current_rate, is_short=is_short, leverage=leverage, ) @staticmethod def _true_range(dataframe: DataFrame) -> pd.Series: prev_close = dataframe["close"].shift(1) ranges = pd.concat( [ dataframe["high"] - dataframe["low"], (dataframe["high"] - prev_close).abs(), (dataframe["low"] - prev_close).abs(), ], axis=1, ) return ranges.max(axis=1) def _mark_cluster_state(self, dataframe: DataFrame) -> DataFrame: zone_high: list[float] = [] zone_low: list[float] = [] breakout_up: list[bool] = [] breakout_down: list[bool] = [] strong_breakout_up: list[bool] = [] weak_breakout_up: list[bool] = [] strong_breakout_down: list[bool] = [] weak_breakout_down: list[bool] = [] breakout_type_up: list[str] = [] breakout_type_down: list[str] = [] in_cluster = False waiting_breakout = False bars_after_cluster = 0 current_high = float("nan") current_low = float("nan") confirmed = dataframe["ma_cluster_confirmed"].fillna(False).to_numpy() ma_high = dataframe["ma_high"].to_numpy() ma_low = dataframe["ma_low"].to_numpy() close = dataframe["close"].to_numpy() open_ = dataframe["open"].to_numpy() atr = dataframe["atr_14"].fillna(0.0).to_numpy() long_score = dataframe["long_direction_score"].fillna(0).to_numpy() short_score = dataframe["short_direction_score"].fillna(0).to_numpy() for i in range(len(dataframe)): signal_up = False signal_down = False strong_up = False weak_up = False strong_down = False weak_down = False up_type = "" down_type = "" if confirmed[i]: if not in_cluster: current_high = ma_high[i] current_low = ma_low[i] else: current_high = max(current_high, ma_high[i]) current_low = min(current_low, ma_low[i]) in_cluster = True waiting_breakout = False bars_after_cluster = 0 else: if in_cluster: in_cluster = False waiting_breakout = True bars_after_cluster = 0 elif waiting_breakout: bars_after_cluster += 1 if waiting_breakout and bars_after_cluster <= self.cluster_breakout_window: strong_buffer = max( close[i] * self.strong_breakout_pct_buffer, atr[i] * self.strong_breakout_atr_buffer, ) long_not_obvious_bear = close[i] >= open_[i] * 0.998 short_not_obvious_bull = close[i] <= open_[i] * 1.002 strong_up = ( close[i] > current_high + strong_buffer and close[i] > ma_high[i] and long_not_obvious_bear and long_score[i] >= self.strong_breakout_score_threshold ) weak_up = ( not strong_up and close[i] > current_high and close[i] >= ma_high[i] - atr[i] * self.weak_breakout_ma_tolerance_atr and long_score[i] >= self.weak_breakout_score_threshold ) strong_down = ( close[i] < current_low - strong_buffer and close[i] < ma_low[i] and short_not_obvious_bull and short_score[i] >= self.strong_breakout_score_threshold ) weak_down = ( not strong_down and close[i] < current_low and close[i] <= ma_low[i] + atr[i] * self.weak_breakout_ma_tolerance_atr and short_score[i] >= self.weak_breakout_score_threshold ) long_breakout = strong_up or weak_up short_breakout = strong_down or weak_down if long_breakout and short_breakout: if long_score[i] > short_score[i]: short_breakout = False strong_down = False weak_down = False elif short_score[i] > long_score[i]: long_breakout = False strong_up = False weak_up = False else: long_breakout = False short_breakout = False strong_up = False weak_up = False strong_down = False weak_down = False if long_breakout: signal_up = True up_type = "strong" if strong_up else "weak" if short_breakout: signal_down = True down_type = "strong" if strong_down else "weak" if signal_up or signal_down: waiting_breakout = False if waiting_breakout and bars_after_cluster > self.cluster_breakout_window: waiting_breakout = False zone_high.append(current_high) zone_low.append(current_low) breakout_up.append(signal_up) breakout_down.append(signal_down) strong_breakout_up.append(strong_up and signal_up) weak_breakout_up.append(weak_up and signal_up) strong_breakout_down.append(strong_down and signal_down) weak_breakout_down.append(weak_down and signal_down) breakout_type_up.append(up_type) breakout_type_down.append(down_type) dataframe["cluster_zone_high"] = zone_high dataframe["cluster_zone_low"] = zone_low dataframe["cluster_breakout_up"] = breakout_up dataframe["cluster_breakout_down"] = breakout_down dataframe["cluster_strong_breakout_up"] = strong_breakout_up dataframe["cluster_weak_breakout_up"] = weak_breakout_up dataframe["cluster_strong_breakout_down"] = strong_breakout_down dataframe["cluster_weak_breakout_down"] = weak_breakout_down dataframe["cluster_breakout_type_up"] = breakout_type_up dataframe["cluster_breakout_type_down"] = breakout_type_down return dataframe @staticmethod def _trade_key(pair: str, trade) -> str: trade_id = getattr(trade, "id", None) if trade_id is not None: return f"{pair}-{trade_id}" return f"{pair}-{getattr(trade, 'open_date_utc', '')}-{getattr(trade, 'open_rate', '')}" @staticmethod def _entry_candle(dataframe: DataFrame, trade): open_time = pd.Timestamp(trade.open_date_utc) if open_time.tzinfo is None: open_time = open_time.tz_localize("UTC") else: open_time = open_time.tz_convert("UTC") dates = pd.to_datetime(dataframe["date"], utc=True) candles = dataframe.loc[dates <= open_time] if candles.empty: return None return candles.iloc[-1] @staticmethod def _candles_until(dataframe: DataFrame, current_time: datetime) -> DataFrame: candle_time = pd.Timestamp(current_time) if candle_time.tzinfo is None: candle_time = candle_time.tz_localize("UTC") else: candle_time = candle_time.tz_convert("UTC") dates = pd.to_datetime(dataframe["date"], utc=True) return dataframe.loc[dates <= candle_time] def _planned_stop_rate(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, entry_tag: str, is_short: bool) -> float | None: atr = float(entry_candle.get("atr_14", 0.0)) atr_buffer = atr * self.stop_atr_buffer if "cluster_breakout" in entry_tag: if is_short: stop_rate = entry_candle.get("cluster_zone_high", float("nan")) + atr_buffer else: stop_rate = entry_candle.get("cluster_zone_low", float("nan")) - atr_buffer elif "pullback" in entry_tag: if is_short: body_stop = entry_candle.get("pullback_stop_short_line", float("nan")) + atr * self.body_stop_atr_buffer if "weak" in entry_tag and self.use_wide_cluster_stop_for_weak: cluster_stop = entry_candle.get("cluster_zone_low", float("nan")) + atr * self.cluster_stop_atr_buffer stop_rate = max(body_stop, cluster_stop) else: stop_rate = body_stop else: body_stop = entry_candle.get("pullback_stop_long_line", float("nan")) - atr * self.body_stop_atr_buffer if "weak" in entry_tag and self.use_wide_cluster_stop_for_weak: cluster_stop = entry_candle.get("cluster_zone_high", float("nan")) - atr * self.cluster_stop_atr_buffer stop_rate = min(body_stop, cluster_stop) else: stop_rate = body_stop if pd.isna(stop_rate): if is_short: stop_rate = entry_candle.get("fast_band_high", float("nan")) + atr_buffer else: stop_rate = entry_candle.get("fast_band_low", float("nan")) - atr_buffer elif "trend_continuation" in entry_tag: if is_short: stop_rate = max( float(entry_candle.get("fast_band_high", float("nan"))), float(entry_candle.get("mid_mid", float("nan"))), ) + atr * self.trend_continuation_stop_atr else: stop_rate = min( float(entry_candle.get("fast_band_low", float("nan"))), float(entry_candle.get("mid_mid", float("nan"))), ) - atr * self.trend_continuation_stop_atr else: return None if pd.isna(stop_rate) or stop_rate <= 0: return None if self.weekend_entry_mode == 1 and bool(entry_candle.get("is_weekend", False)): if is_short: weekend_stop = entry_candle.get("cluster_zone_high", float("nan")) + atr * self.weekend_stop_atr_buffer else: weekend_stop = entry_candle.get("cluster_zone_low", float("nan")) - atr * self.weekend_stop_atr_buffer if pd.notna(weekend_stop) and weekend_stop > 0: return float(weekend_stop) stop_rate = self._structure_stop_rate(entry_candle, float(stop_rate), is_short) return float(stop_rate) def _structure_stop_rate(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, base_stop: float, is_short: bool) -> float: if not self.use_pivot_structure or self.swing_stop_policy <= 0: return base_stop entry_rate = float(entry_candle.get("close", 0.0)) atr = float(entry_candle.get("atr_14", 0.0)) if entry_rate <= 0 or atr <= 0: return base_stop if is_short: pivot = entry_candle.get("prev_pivot_high", float("nan")) candidate = pivot + atr * self.swing_stop_atr_buffer risk_pct = (candidate - entry_rate) / entry_rate candidate_is_wider = candidate > base_stop else: pivot = entry_candle.get("prev_pivot_low", float("nan")) candidate = pivot - atr * self.swing_stop_atr_buffer risk_pct = (entry_rate - candidate) / entry_rate candidate_is_wider = candidate < base_stop if pd.isna(candidate) or candidate <= 0: return base_stop if risk_pct < self.swing_stop_min_risk_pct or risk_pct > self.swing_stop_max_risk_pct: return base_stop if self.swing_stop_policy == 2 and not candidate_is_wider: return base_stop if self.swing_stop_policy == 3 and candidate_is_wider: return base_stop return float(candidate) def _take_profit_rate(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, entry_rate: float, stop_rate: float, is_short: bool) -> float | None: if self.weekend_entry_mode == 1 and bool(entry_candle.get("is_weekend", False)): if is_short: return float(entry_rate * (1 - self.weekend_profit_target)) return float(entry_rate * (1 + self.weekend_profit_target)) target_max_rr = self._target_max_rr(entry_candle, is_short) if is_short: risk = stop_rate - entry_rate if risk <= 0: return None target_2r = entry_rate - self.risk_reward_min * risk target_3r = entry_rate - self.risk_reward_preferred * risk target_max = entry_rate - target_max_rr * risk swing_target = self._structure_target(entry_candle, is_short) if pd.notna(swing_target) and target_max <= swing_target <= target_2r: return float(swing_target) if pd.notna(swing_target) and swing_target < target_max: return float(target_max) return float(target_2r) risk = entry_rate - stop_rate if risk <= 0: return None target_2r = entry_rate + self.risk_reward_min * risk target_3r = entry_rate + self.risk_reward_preferred * risk target_max = entry_rate + target_max_rr * risk swing_target = self._structure_target(entry_candle, is_short) if pd.notna(swing_target) and target_2r <= swing_target <= target_max: return float(swing_target) if pd.notna(swing_target) and swing_target > target_max: return float(target_max) return float(target_2r) def _target_max_rr(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, is_short: bool) -> float: return self.trend_structure_target_max_rr if self._is_strong_trend(entry_candle, is_short) else self.structure_target_max_rr def _trailing_start(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, is_short: bool) -> float: return self.trend_profit_trailing_start if self._is_strong_trend(entry_candle, is_short) else self.large_profit_trailing_start def _trailing_enabled(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, is_short: bool) -> bool: return self.trail_trend_enabled if self._is_strong_trend(entry_candle, is_short) else self.trail_normal_enabled def _trailing_retrace_ratio(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, is_short: bool) -> float: return self.trend_profit_retrace_ratio if self._is_strong_trend(entry_candle, is_short) else self.large_profit_retrace_ratio def _is_strong_trend(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, is_short: bool) -> bool: if is_short: score = entry_candle.get("short_direction_score_4h", float("nan")) local_score = entry_candle.get("short_direction_score", 0) else: score = entry_candle.get("long_direction_score_4h", float("nan")) local_score = entry_candle.get("long_direction_score", 0) if pd.isna(score): return False return score >= self.htf_trend_score_min and local_score >= self.strong_breakout_score_threshold def _early_false_breakout_exit( self, candles_until_now: DataFrame, entry_candle: pd.Series, trade, current_rate: float, current_profit: float, is_short: bool, ) -> str | None: if self.early_fail_window <= 0 or current_profit > self.early_fail_max_profit: return None open_time = pd.Timestamp(trade.open_date_utc) if open_time.tzinfo is None: open_time = open_time.tz_localize("UTC") else: open_time = open_time.tz_convert("UTC") dates = pd.to_datetime(candles_until_now["date"], utc=True) post_entry = candles_until_now.loc[dates > open_time] if post_entry.empty: return None if len(post_entry) > self.early_fail_window: return None last_candle = post_entry.iloc[-1] atr = float(entry_candle.get("atr_14", 0.0)) buffer = atr * self.early_fail_atr_buffer close = float(last_candle.get("close", current_rate)) if is_short: breakout_line = float(entry_candle.get("pullback_stop_short_line", float("nan"))) cluster_line = float(entry_candle.get("cluster_zone_low", float("nan"))) entry_low = float(entry_candle.get("low", float("nan"))) back_inside_body = pd.notna(breakout_line) and close > breakout_line + buffer failed_to_extend = ( len(post_entry) >= self.early_fail_window and pd.notna(entry_low) and pd.notna(cluster_line) and float(post_entry["low"].min()) >= entry_low - buffer and close >= cluster_line - buffer ) if back_inside_body or failed_to_extend: return "short_early_false_breakout_exit" return None breakout_line = float(entry_candle.get("pullback_stop_long_line", float("nan"))) cluster_line = float(entry_candle.get("cluster_zone_high", float("nan"))) entry_high = float(entry_candle.get("high", float("nan"))) back_inside_body = pd.notna(breakout_line) and close < breakout_line - buffer failed_to_extend = ( len(post_entry) >= self.early_fail_window and pd.notna(entry_high) and pd.notna(cluster_line) and float(post_entry["high"].max()) <= entry_high + buffer and close <= cluster_line + buffer ) if back_inside_body or failed_to_extend: return "long_early_false_breakout_exit" return None def _structure_target(self, entry_candle: pd.Series, is_short: bool) -> float: if self.use_pivot_structure: pivot_col = "prev_pivot_low" if is_short else "prev_pivot_high" pivot = entry_candle.get(pivot_col, float("nan")) if pd.notna(pivot) and pivot > 0: return float(pivot) swing_col = "prev_swing_low" if is_short else "prev_swing_high" swing = entry_candle.get(swing_col, float("nan")) if pd.notna(swing) and swing > 0: return float(swing) return float("nan") def _mark_first_pullback_after_breakout(self, dataframe: DataFrame, direction: str) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.Series]: """标记突破后的第一次回踩/反抽实体边界。 direction = "long":向上突破后,记录突破 K 线实体下沿。 后面第一根真正回踩 K 线,只要最低价不跌破该实体下沿,就开多。 direction = "short":向下跌破后,记录突破 K 线实体上沿。 后面第一根真正反抽 K 线,只要最高价不突破该实体上沿,就开空。 """ waiting_for_pullback = False bars_after_breakout = 0 active_line = float("nan") signals: list[bool] = [] stop_lines: list[float] = [] signal_types: list[str] = [] open_values = dataframe["open"].to_numpy() close_values = dataframe["close"].to_numpy() low_values = dataframe["low"].to_numpy() high_values = dataframe["high"].to_numpy() atr_values = dataframe["atr_14"].fillna(0.0).to_numpy() cluster_high_values = dataframe["cluster_zone_high"].to_numpy() cluster_low_values = dataframe["cluster_zone_low"].to_numpy() ma_high_values = dataframe["ma_high"].to_numpy() ma_low_values = dataframe["ma_low"].to_numpy() long_score_values = dataframe["long_direction_score"].fillna(0).to_numpy() short_score_values = dataframe["short_direction_score"].fillna(0).to_numpy() if direction == "long": breakout = dataframe["cluster_breakout_up"].fillna(False).to_numpy() breakout_type = dataframe["cluster_breakout_type_up"].fillna("").to_numpy() invalid = dataframe["cluster_stop_long"].fillna(False).to_numpy() else: breakout = dataframe["cluster_breakout_down"].fillna(False).to_numpy() breakout_type = dataframe["cluster_breakout_type_down"].fillna("").to_numpy() invalid = dataframe["cluster_stop_short"].fillna(False).to_numpy() active_type = "" active_cluster_high = float("nan") active_cluster_low = float("nan") waiting_for_confirmation = False bars_after_pullback = 0 pending_line = float("nan") pending_type = "" pending_cluster_high = float("nan") pending_cluster_low = float("nan") pending_pullback_high = float("nan") pending_pullback_low = float("nan") for i in range(len(dataframe)): signal = False signal_line = float("nan") signal_type = "" if breakout[i]: waiting_for_pullback = True bars_after_breakout = 0 active_type = str(breakout_type[i]) active_cluster_high = cluster_high_values[i] active_cluster_low = cluster_low_values[i] if direction == "long": active_line = min(open_values[i], close_values[i]) else: active_line = max(open_values[i], close_values[i]) waiting_for_confirmation = False bars_after_pullback = 0 elif waiting_for_pullback: bars_after_breakout += 1 if waiting_for_confirmation: bars_after_pullback += 1 zone_buffer = max( close_values[i] * self.pullback_confirm_zone_pct_buffer, atr_values[i] * self.pullback_confirm_zone_atr_buffer, ) body_pct = abs(close_values[i] - open_values[i]) / close_values[i] if close_values[i] > 0 else 0.0 if direction == "long": stop_line = pending_line - atr_values[i] * self.body_stop_atr_buffer invalid_confirmation = low_values[i] < stop_line reclaimed_pullback = close_values[i] > pending_pullback_high resumed_strength = ( close_values[i] > open_values[i] and close_values[i] > close_values[i - 1] and close_values[i] > ma_high_values[i] ) confirmed = ( close_values[i] > open_values[i] and body_pct >= self.pullback_confirm_body_pct_min and close_values[i] > pending_cluster_high + zone_buffer and long_score_values[i] >= self.pullback_confirm_score_threshold and (reclaimed_pullback or resumed_strength) ) else: stop_line = pending_line + atr_values[i] * self.body_stop_atr_buffer invalid_confirmation = high_values[i] > stop_line reclaimed_pullback = close_values[i] < pending_pullback_low resumed_strength = ( close_values[i] < open_values[i] and close_values[i] < close_values[i - 1] and close_values[i] < ma_low_values[i] ) confirmed = ( close_values[i] < open_values[i] and body_pct >= self.pullback_confirm_body_pct_min and close_values[i] < pending_cluster_low - zone_buffer and short_score_values[i] >= self.pullback_confirm_score_threshold and (reclaimed_pullback or resumed_strength) ) if confirmed: signal = True signal_line = pending_line signal_type = pending_type waiting_for_confirmation = False elif invalid_confirmation or bars_after_pullback > self.pullback_reclaim_window: waiting_for_confirmation = False if waiting_for_pullback and bars_after_breakout > 0: if direction == "long": is_first_pullback = ( close_values[i] < close_values[i - 1] or low_values[i] < low_values[i - 1] or close_values[i] < open_values[i] ) body_tolerance = close_values[i] * self.body_line_tolerance_pct cluster_tolerance = atr_values[i] * self.cluster_line_tolerance_atr holds_breakout_line = low_values[i] >= active_line - body_tolerance holds_cluster_line = close_values[i] >= active_cluster_high - cluster_tolerance else: is_first_pullback = ( close_values[i] > close_values[i - 1] or high_values[i] > high_values[i - 1] or close_values[i] > open_values[i] ) body_tolerance = close_values[i] * self.body_line_tolerance_pct cluster_tolerance = atr_values[i] * self.cluster_line_tolerance_atr holds_breakout_line = high_values[i] <= active_line + body_tolerance holds_cluster_line = close_values[i] <= active_cluster_low + cluster_tolerance if is_first_pullback: holds_reference = holds_breakout_line if active_type == "weak": holds_reference = holds_breakout_line or holds_cluster_line if holds_reference: waiting_for_confirmation = True bars_after_pullback = 0 pending_line = active_line pending_type = active_type pending_cluster_high = active_cluster_high pending_cluster_low = active_cluster_low pending_pullback_high = high_values[i] pending_pullback_low = low_values[i] waiting_for_pullback = False if waiting_for_pullback and (bars_after_breakout > self.pullback_window or invalid[i]): waiting_for_pullback = False if waiting_for_confirmation and invalid[i]: waiting_for_confirmation = False signals.append(signal) stop_lines.append(signal_line) signal_types.append(signal_type) return ( pd.Series(signals, index=dataframe.index), pd.Series(stop_lines, index=dataframe.index), pd.Series(signal_types, index=dataframe.index), ) def _populate_htf_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame) -> DataFrame: """4h 看大做小过滤:只允许顺着高周期结构做 1h 突破回踩。""" dataframe["ma_5"] = self._sma(dataframe["close"], 5) dataframe["ma_10"] = self._sma(dataframe["close"], 10) dataframe["ma_30"] = self._sma(dataframe["close"], 30) dataframe["ema_5"] = self._ema(dataframe["close"], 5) dataframe["ema_10"] = self._ema(dataframe["close"], 10) dataframe["ema_30"] = self._ema(dataframe["close"], 30) dataframe["fast_mid"] = (dataframe["ma_5"] + dataframe["ema_5"]) / 2 dataframe["mid_mid"] = (dataframe["ma_10"] + dataframe["ema_10"]) / 2 dataframe["slow_mid"] = (dataframe["ma_30"] + dataframe["ema_30"]) / 2 dataframe["ma_high"] = dataframe[["ma_5", "ma_10", "ma_30", "ema_5", "ema_10", "ema_30"]].max(axis=1) dataframe["ma_low"] = dataframe[["ma_5", "ma_10", "ma_30", "ema_5", "ema_10", "ema_30"]].min(axis=1) dataframe["fast_mid_slope"] = dataframe["fast_mid"] / dataframe["fast_mid"].shift(self.direction_slope_lookback) - 1 dataframe["long_direction_score"] = ( (dataframe["fast_mid"] > dataframe["mid_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["mid_mid"] > dataframe["slow_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["fast_mid_slope"] > self.htf_slope_min).astype(int) + (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["slow_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["ma_high"]).astype(int) ) dataframe["short_direction_score"] = ( (dataframe["fast_mid"] < dataframe["mid_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["mid_mid"] < dataframe["slow_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["fast_mid_slope"] < -self.htf_slope_min).astype(int) + (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["slow_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["ma_low"]).astype(int) ) dataframe["htf_long_ok"] = dataframe["long_direction_score"] >= self.htf_score_min dataframe["htf_short_ok"] = dataframe["short_direction_score"] >= self.htf_score_min return dataframe def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: dp = getattr(self, "dp", None) if (self.use_htf_context or self.use_htf_filter or self.trade_trend_continuation) and dp is not None: informative = dp.get_pair_dataframe(pair=metadata["pair"], timeframe=self.informative_timeframe) informative = self._populate_htf_indicators(informative.copy()) dataframe = merge_informative_pair( dataframe, informative, self.timeframe, self.informative_timeframe, ffill=True, ) if self.use_daily_trend_context and self.trade_trend_continuation and dp is not None: informative_daily = dp.get_pair_dataframe(pair=metadata["pair"], timeframe=self.daily_timeframe) informative_daily = self._populate_htf_indicators(informative_daily.copy()) dataframe = merge_informative_pair( dataframe, informative_daily, self.timeframe, self.daily_timeframe, ffill=True, ) dataframe["is_weekend"] = pd.to_datetime(dataframe["date"], utc=True).dt.dayofweek >= 5 dataframe["ma_5"] = self._sma(dataframe["close"], 5) dataframe["ma_10"] = self._sma(dataframe["close"], 10) dataframe["ma_30"] = self._sma(dataframe["close"], 30) dataframe["ema_5"] = self._ema(dataframe["close"], 5) dataframe["ema_10"] = self._ema(dataframe["close"], 10) dataframe["ema_30"] = self._ema(dataframe["close"], 30) dataframe["atr_14"] = self._true_range(dataframe).rolling(14, min_periods=14).mean() dataframe["prev_swing_high"] = dataframe["high"].shift(1).rolling( self.swing_lookback, min_periods=20, ).max() dataframe["prev_swing_low"] = dataframe["low"].shift(1).rolling( self.swing_lookback, min_periods=20, ).min() pivot_window = self.pivot_left_bars + self.pivot_right_bars + 1 pivot_high_center = dataframe["high"].shift(self.pivot_right_bars) pivot_low_center = dataframe["low"].shift(self.pivot_right_bars) confirmed_pivot_high = pivot_high_center.where( pivot_high_center >= dataframe["high"].rolling(pivot_window, min_periods=pivot_window).max() ) confirmed_pivot_low = pivot_low_center.where( pivot_low_center <= dataframe["low"].rolling(pivot_window, min_periods=pivot_window).min() ) dataframe["prev_pivot_high"] = confirmed_pivot_high.ffill().shift(1) dataframe["prev_pivot_low"] = confirmed_pivot_low.ffill().shift(1) ma_cols = ["ma_5", "ma_10", "ma_30", "ema_5", "ema_10", "ema_30"] dataframe["ma_high"] = dataframe[ma_cols].max(axis=1) dataframe["ma_low"] = dataframe[ma_cols].min(axis=1) dataframe["ma_width"] = (dataframe["ma_high"] - dataframe["ma_low"]) / dataframe["close"] slope_cols = [] for column in ma_cols: slope_column = f"{column}_flat_slope" dataframe[slope_column] = (dataframe[column] / dataframe[column].shift(self.ma_flat_slope_lookback) - 1).abs() slope_cols.append(slope_column) dataframe["ma_max_flat_slope"] = dataframe[slope_cols].max(axis=1) dataframe["ma_slopes_flat"] = dataframe["ma_max_flat_slope"] <= self.ma_flat_slope_threshold dataframe["ma_width_quantile"] = dataframe["ma_width"].rolling( self.ma_cluster_quantile_window, min_periods=self.ma_cluster_quantile_window, ).quantile(self.ma_cluster_quantile) dataframe["price_near_bundle"] = ( (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["ma_high"] + dataframe["atr_14"] * self.cluster_price_atr_tolerance) & (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["ma_low"] - dataframe["atr_14"] * self.cluster_price_atr_tolerance) ) dataframe["ma_width_recent_max"] = dataframe["ma_width"].rolling( self.ma_cluster_compression_window, min_periods=max(6, self.ma_cluster_compression_window // 2), ).max() dataframe["ma_width_recently_compressed"] = ( dataframe["ma_width"] <= dataframe["ma_width_recent_max"] * self.ma_cluster_recent_compression_ratio ) dataframe["fast_mid"] = (dataframe["ma_5"] + dataframe["ema_5"]) / 2 dataframe["mid_mid"] = (dataframe["ma_10"] + dataframe["ema_10"]) / 2 dataframe["slow_mid"] = (dataframe["ma_30"] + dataframe["ema_30"]) / 2 dataframe["fast_mid_slope"] = dataframe["fast_mid"] / dataframe["fast_mid"].shift(self.direction_slope_lookback) - 1 dataframe["group_high"] = dataframe[["fast_mid", "mid_mid", "slow_mid"]].max(axis=1) dataframe["group_low"] = dataframe[["fast_mid", "mid_mid", "slow_mid"]].min(axis=1) dataframe["group_spread"] = (dataframe["group_high"] - dataframe["group_low"]) / dataframe["close"] dataframe["group_spread_contracting"] = ( dataframe["group_spread"] <= dataframe["group_spread"].shift(self.ma_group_contract_window) * self.ma_group_contract_ratio ) dataframe["price_range"] = ( dataframe["high"].rolling(self.sideways_lookback, min_periods=self.sideways_lookback).max() - dataframe["low"].rolling(self.sideways_lookback, min_periods=self.sideways_lookback).min() ) dataframe["price_sideways"] = ( (dataframe["price_range"] <= dataframe["atr_14"] * self.sideways_range_atr_max) | (dataframe["price_range"] / dataframe["close"] <= self.sideways_range_pct_max) ) dataframe["ma_cluster_candidate"] = ( (dataframe["ma_width"] <= self.ma_cluster_width_threshold) & ( (dataframe["ma_width"] <= dataframe["ma_width_quantile"]) | dataframe["ma_width_recently_compressed"] ) & dataframe["ma_slopes_flat"] & dataframe["group_spread_contracting"] & dataframe["price_sideways"] & dataframe["price_near_bundle"] ) dataframe["ma_cluster_confirmed"] = ( dataframe["ma_cluster_candidate"] .rolling(self.cluster_confirm_window, min_periods=self.cluster_confirm_window) .sum() >= self.cluster_confirm_min_bars ) dataframe["long_direction_score"] = ( (dataframe["fast_mid"] > dataframe["mid_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["mid_mid"] > dataframe["slow_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["fast_mid_slope"] > 0).astype(int) + (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["slow_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["ma_high"]).astype(int) ) dataframe["short_direction_score"] = ( (dataframe["fast_mid"] < dataframe["mid_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["mid_mid"] < dataframe["slow_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["fast_mid_slope"] < 0).astype(int) + (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["slow_mid"]).astype(int) + (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["ma_low"]).astype(int) ) dataframe["bullish_ma_order"] = dataframe["long_direction_score"] >= self.strong_breakout_score_threshold dataframe["bearish_ma_order"] = dataframe["short_direction_score"] >= self.strong_breakout_score_threshold dataframe = self._mark_cluster_state(dataframe) dataframe["fast_band_high"] = dataframe[["ma_5", "ema_5"]].max(axis=1) dataframe["fast_band_low"] = dataframe[["ma_5", "ema_5"]].min(axis=1) dataframe["pullback_5_no_break_long"] = ( dataframe["bullish_ma_order"] & (dataframe["low"] <= dataframe["fast_band_high"] * (1 + self.pullback_touch_tolerance)) & (dataframe["close"] >= dataframe["fast_band_low"]) & (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["open"]) ) dataframe["pullback_5_no_break_short"] = ( dataframe["bearish_ma_order"] & (dataframe["high"] >= dataframe["fast_band_low"] * (1 - self.pullback_touch_tolerance)) & (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["fast_band_high"]) & (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["open"]) ) long_htf_score = dataframe.get("long_direction_score_4h", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index)).fillna(0) short_htf_score = dataframe.get("short_direction_score_4h", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index)).fillna(0) long_daily_score = dataframe.get("long_direction_score_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index)).fillna(0) short_daily_score = dataframe.get("short_direction_score_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index)).fillna(0) daily_long_order = ( (dataframe.get("fast_mid_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index)) > dataframe.get("mid_mid_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index))) & (dataframe.get("mid_mid_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index)) > dataframe.get("slow_mid_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index))) ) daily_short_order = ( (dataframe.get("fast_mid_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index)) < dataframe.get("mid_mid_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index))) & (dataframe.get("mid_mid_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index)) < dataframe.get("slow_mid_1d", pd.Series(0, index=dataframe.index))) ) daily_long_ok = long_daily_score >= self.trend_continuation_daily_score_min daily_short_ok = short_daily_score >= self.trend_continuation_daily_score_min if self.trend_continuation_daily_require_order: daily_long_ok = daily_long_ok & daily_long_order daily_short_ok = daily_short_ok & daily_short_order atr_safe = dataframe["atr_14"].replace(0, pd.NA) long_extension_atr = (dataframe["close"] - dataframe["slow_mid"]) / atr_safe short_extension_atr = (dataframe["slow_mid"] - dataframe["close"]) / atr_safe dataframe["trend_continuation_long_raw"] = ( self.trade_trend_continuation & self.trend_continuation_long & (dataframe["long_direction_score"] >= self.trend_continuation_score_min) & (long_htf_score >= self.trend_continuation_htf_score_min) & daily_long_ok & (dataframe["fast_mid"] > dataframe["mid_mid"]) & (dataframe["mid_mid"] > dataframe["slow_mid"]) & (dataframe["fast_mid_slope"] > 0) & (dataframe["low"] <= dataframe["fast_band_high"] + dataframe["atr_14"] * self.trend_continuation_pullback_atr) & (dataframe["low"] >= dataframe["mid_mid"] - dataframe["atr_14"] * self.trend_continuation_pullback_atr) & (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["fast_band_high"]) & (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["open"]) & (long_extension_atr >= self.trend_continuation_min_extension_atr) & (long_extension_atr <= self.trend_continuation_max_extension_atr) ) dataframe["trend_continuation_short_raw"] = ( self.trade_trend_continuation & self.trend_continuation_short & (dataframe["short_direction_score"] >= self.trend_continuation_score_min) & (short_htf_score >= self.trend_continuation_htf_score_min) & daily_short_ok & (dataframe["fast_mid"] < dataframe["mid_mid"]) & (dataframe["mid_mid"] < dataframe["slow_mid"]) & (dataframe["fast_mid_slope"] < 0) & (dataframe["high"] >= dataframe["fast_band_low"] - dataframe["atr_14"] * self.trend_continuation_pullback_atr) & (dataframe["high"] <= dataframe["mid_mid"] + dataframe["atr_14"] * self.trend_continuation_pullback_atr) & (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["fast_band_low"]) & (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["open"]) & (short_extension_atr >= self.trend_continuation_min_extension_atr) & (short_extension_atr <= self.trend_continuation_max_extension_atr) ) dataframe["trend_continuation_long"] = ( dataframe["trend_continuation_long_raw"] & ( dataframe["trend_continuation_long_raw"] .shift(1) .rolling(self.trend_continuation_cooldown, min_periods=1) .sum() .fillna(0) == 0 ) ) dataframe["trend_continuation_short"] = ( dataframe["trend_continuation_short_raw"] & ( dataframe["trend_continuation_short_raw"] .shift(1) .rolling(self.trend_continuation_cooldown, min_periods=1) .sum() .fillna(0) == 0 ) ) dataframe["cluster_stop_long"] = ( (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["cluster_zone_low"] - dataframe["atr_14"] * self.invalid_break_atr_buffer) & (dataframe["close"].shift(1) < dataframe["cluster_zone_low"].shift(1) - dataframe["atr_14"].shift(1) * self.invalid_break_atr_buffer) ) dataframe["cluster_stop_short"] = ( (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["cluster_zone_high"] + dataframe["atr_14"] * self.invalid_break_atr_buffer) & (dataframe["close"].shift(1) > dataframe["cluster_zone_high"].shift(1) + dataframe["atr_14"].shift(1) * self.invalid_break_atr_buffer) ) dataframe["effective_break_20_long"] = ( (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["fast_band_low"] - dataframe["atr_14"] * self.stop_atr_buffer) & (dataframe["close"].shift(1) < dataframe["fast_band_low"].shift(1) - dataframe["atr_14"].shift(1) * self.stop_atr_buffer) ) dataframe["effective_break_20_short"] = ( (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["fast_band_high"] + dataframe["atr_14"] * self.stop_atr_buffer) & (dataframe["close"].shift(1) > dataframe["fast_band_high"].shift(1) + dataframe["atr_14"].shift(1) * self.stop_atr_buffer) ) ( dataframe["first_pullback_long"], dataframe["pullback_stop_long_line"], dataframe["pullback_type_long"], ) = self._mark_first_pullback_after_breakout(dataframe, "long") ( dataframe["first_pullback_short"], dataframe["pullback_stop_short_line"], dataframe["pullback_type_short"], ) = self._mark_first_pullback_after_breakout(dataframe, "short") return dataframe def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: if self.use_htf_filter and "htf_long_ok_4h" in dataframe: long_htf_ok = dataframe["htf_long_ok_4h"].fillna(False) short_htf_ok = dataframe["htf_short_ok_4h"].fillna(False) else: long_htf_ok = True short_htf_ok = True if self.weekend_entry_mode == 2: weekend_entry_ok = ~dataframe["is_weekend"].fillna(False) else: weekend_entry_ok = True dataframe.loc[ (dataframe["volume"] > 0) & dataframe["first_pullback_long"] & (dataframe["pullback_type_long"] == "strong") & long_htf_ok & weekend_entry_ok, ["enter_long", "enter_tag"], ] = (int(self.trade_strong_breakouts), "long_strong_breakout_pullback") dataframe.loc[ (dataframe["volume"] > 0) & dataframe["first_pullback_long"] & (dataframe["pullback_type_long"] == "weak") & long_htf_ok & weekend_entry_ok, ["enter_long", "enter_tag"], ] = (int(self.trade_weak_breakouts), "long_weak_breakout_pullback") dataframe.loc[ (dataframe["volume"] > 0) & dataframe["first_pullback_short"] & (dataframe["pullback_type_short"] == "strong") & short_htf_ok & weekend_entry_ok, ["enter_short", "enter_tag"], ] = (int(self.trade_strong_breakouts), "short_strong_breakout_pullback") dataframe.loc[ (dataframe["volume"] > 0) & dataframe["first_pullback_short"] & (dataframe["pullback_type_short"] == "weak") & short_htf_ok & weekend_entry_ok, ["enter_short", "enter_tag"], ] = (int(self.trade_weak_breakouts), "short_weak_breakout_pullback") dataframe.loc[ (dataframe["volume"] > 0) & dataframe["trend_continuation_long"] & long_htf_ok & weekend_entry_ok, ["enter_long", "enter_tag"], ] = (int(self.trade_trend_continuation and self.trend_continuation_long), "long_trend_continuation_pullback") dataframe.loc[ (dataframe["volume"] > 0) & dataframe["trend_continuation_short"] & short_htf_ok & weekend_entry_ok, ["enter_short", "enter_tag"], ] = (int(self.trade_trend_continuation and self.trend_continuation_short), "short_trend_continuation_pullback") return dataframe def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame: return dataframe def custom_exit( self, pair: str, trade, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, current_profit: float, **kwargs, ) -> str | None: dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair=pair, timeframe=self.timeframe) if dataframe.empty: return None candles_until_now = self._candles_until(dataframe, current_time) if candles_until_now.empty: return None last_candle = candles_until_now.iloc[-1] entry_tag = getattr(trade, "enter_tag", None) or getattr(trade, "entry_tag", None) or "" is_short = bool(getattr(trade, "is_short", False)) trade_key = self._trade_key(pair, trade) if not hasattr(self, "_trade_peak_profit"): self._trade_peak_profit = {} peak_profit = max(self._trade_peak_profit.get(trade_key, current_profit), current_profit) self._trade_peak_profit[trade_key] = peak_profit if "cluster_breakout" in entry_tag: if is_short and bool(last_candle.get("cluster_stop_short", False)): return "short_cluster_zone_invalid" if not is_short and bool(last_candle.get("cluster_stop_long", False)): return "long_cluster_zone_invalid" if "pullback" in entry_tag: entry_candle = self._entry_candle(candles_until_now, trade) if entry_candle is not None: early_exit = self._early_false_breakout_exit( candles_until_now, entry_candle, trade, current_rate, current_profit, is_short, ) if early_exit is not None: return early_exit entry_stop_rate = self._planned_stop_rate(entry_candle, entry_tag, is_short) if entry_stop_rate is not None: if is_short and current_rate > entry_stop_rate: return "short_breakout_body_line_invalid" if not is_short and current_rate < entry_stop_rate: return "long_breakout_body_line_invalid" entry_candle = self._entry_candle(candles_until_now, trade) if entry_candle is None: return None entry_rate = float(getattr(trade, "open_rate", 0.0)) stop_rate = self._planned_stop_rate(entry_candle, entry_tag, is_short) if entry_rate <= 0 or stop_rate is None: return None target_rate = self._take_profit_rate(entry_candle, entry_rate, stop_rate, is_short) if target_rate is None: return None if is_short and current_rate <= target_rate: return "short_rr_structure_take_profit" if not is_short and current_rate >= target_rate: return "long_rr_structure_take_profit" trailing_start = self._trailing_start(entry_candle, is_short) if self._trailing_enabled(entry_candle, is_short) and peak_profit >= trailing_start: giveback_exit_profit = peak_profit * self._trailing_retrace_ratio(entry_candle, is_short) if current_profit <= giveback_exit_profit: return "large_profit_50pct_giveback" return None |
Strategy League — fixed backtest that feeds the ranking
Export report Freqtrade logsRun finished · took 72.1s
ℹ️ This strategy uses custom_stoploss() — freqtrade only
re-checks these once per 1h candle by default, not against the price movement within it.
For a more accurate read, re-run this backtest locally with --timeframe-detail 1m
(or 5m — freqtrade's own docs use 5m detail for an hourly strategy as a lighter
alternative). Freqle doesn't do this for every check here: multiplying every
League/sweep backtest by a finer detail timeframe is more compute than the sandbox can sustain
across every indexed strategy. why this matters →
- profit isn't statistically significant (p=1.00) — hard to tell apart from luck
- only 0% of resampled runs were profitable
- profitable in only 7% of rolling 3-month windows
- did not beat simply holding the market
- very deep drawdown (-90%)
Resampling the trade sequence 2,000× shows the spread of results this edge could plausibly produce — separating a dependable strategy from one that got lucky once.
Loading charts…
Monthly breakdown
| Month | Regime | Trades | Profit % | Avg % | Win | Loss | Win % | DD % | Avg dur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2022 | bearish choppy high vol | 26 | -1.21 | -0.34 | 7 | 19 | 26.9 | -90.13 | 4h 48m |
| Mar 2022 | bullish choppy high vol | 46 | -2.14 | -0.32 | 10 | 36 | 21.7 | -89.76 | 5h 27m |
| Feb 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 32 | -2.18 | -0.42 | 11 | 21 | 34.4 | -86.75 | 3h 47m |
| Jan 2022 | bearish trending high vol | 10 | +1.17 | 0.88 | 3 | 7 | 30.0 | -86.05 | 74h 30m |
| Dec 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 27 | +0.83 | 0.32 | 9 | 18 | 33.3 | -87.19 | 2h 53m |
| Nov 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 47 | -0.24 | 0.02 | 13 | 34 | 27.7 | -87.74 | 4h 19m |
| Oct 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 60 | -5.05 | -0.50 | 16 | 44 | 26.7 | -86.38 | 2h 34m |
| Sep 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 33 | +1.45 | 0.32 | 10 | 23 | 30.3 | -82.93 | 3h 38m |
| Aug 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 38 | -10.15 | -1.20 | 7 | 31 | 18.4 | -82.68 | 2h 52m |
| Jul 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 31 | -3.11 | -0.26 | 9 | 22 | 29.0 | -72.43 | 5h 41m |
| Jun 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 31 | +3.30 | 0.48 | 12 | 19 | 38.7 | -72.34 | 3h 50m |
| May 2021 | bearish trending high vol | 19 | -3.00 | -0.46 | 7 | 12 | 36.8 | -75.0 | 2h 03m |
| Apr 2021 | bearish choppy high vol | 35 | -4.79 | -0.34 | 12 | 23 | 34.3 | -71.65 | 4h 46m |
| Mar 2021 | bullish choppy high vol | 42 | -15.35 | -0.76 | 8 | 34 | 19.0 | -67.79 | 4h 31m |
| Feb 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 28 | -16.52 | -0.89 | 8 | 20 | 28.6 | -54.58 | 2h 28m |
| Jan 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 27 | -33.23 | -1.45 | 6 | 21 | 22.2 | -32.61 | 2h 29m |
Yearly breakdown
| Year | Trades | Profit % | Avg % | Win | Loss | Win % | DD % | Avg dur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 114 | -4.36 | -0.25 | 31 | 83 | 27.2 | -90.13 | 10h 53m |
| 2021 | 418 | -85.86 | -0.40 | 117 | 301 | 28.0 | -87.74 | 3h 34m |
Trade charts — best 2 and worst 2 performing pairs (full OHLC candles are expensive to render for every pair)
Backtests — over a market period
Backtest this strategy over a chosen crypto-cycle period. These don't affect the League ranking, and need that period's candle data downloaded.
Log in or sign up to run backtests.
| Period | Range | Total % | Win % | Max DD | Trades | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · DeFi Summer & Pre-Halving Rally | 20200101-20210101 | not run | ||||
| 2021 · Institutional Bull Market | 20210101-20220101 | not run | ||||
| 2022 · Post-Bull Crash & Macro Tightening | 20220101-20230101 | not run | ||||
| 2023–2024 · Recovery & ETF Anticipation | 20230101-20250101 | not run | ||||
| 2025–2026 · Current Cycle | 20250101-20260101 | not run | ||||
Walk forward
Out-of-sample backtest on recent data · 33 pairs · 20260101-20260701.
Backtest trust check
7 potential lookahead pattern(s) found · 1 to review
| Line | Pattern | Detail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 943 | leak | whole_series_reduction | .max() over the whole column sees future rows (use .rolling(window).max() for a causal value) |
| 944 | leak | whole_series_reduction | .min() over the whole column sees future rows (use .rolling(window).min() for a causal value) |
| 951 | leak | whole_series_reduction | .max() over the whole column sees future rows (use .rolling(window).max() for a causal value) |
| 973 | |||
| 974 | leak | whole_series_reduction | .min() over the whole column sees future rows (use .rolling(window).min() for a causal value) |
| 1026 | leak | whole_series_reduction | .max() over the whole column sees future rows (use .rolling(window).max() for a causal value) |
| 1027 | leak | whole_series_reduction | .min() over the whole column sees future rows (use .rolling(window).min() for a causal value) |
| 1160 | review | enter_tag_overwrite | enter_tag/exit_tag is written by 6 separate assignments -- they share one column and run in source order, so a row matching more than one condition keeps only the LAST tag. Per-tag statistics won't mean what they appear to |
ran by Ron · took s
Lookahead analysis
freqtrade lookahead-analysis: detects strategies peeking at future candles.