15 related strategies (⧉ identical code, ≈ similar name)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 | # pragma pylint: disable=missing-docstring, invalid-name, pointless-string-statement # flake8: noqa: F401 """ Strategy 14: ATR Volatility Breakout ====================================== Author : Halal Algo Trading Suite Timeframe : 4h Asset class : Crypto SPOT only — no shorting, no margin, no futures Overview -------- The Average True Range (ATR) is the most widely used measure of market volatility. Rather than using a fixed percentage stoploss, this strategy dynamically sizes its risk exposure in proportion to the current market volatility — a technique championed by trend-following funds. Core Logic ---------- A breakout is defined as the close exceeding the highest high of the previous 20 bars. This "Donchian-style" breakout avoids minor intraday wicks and focuses on confirmed closing-price strength. Entry conditions (ALL must be true) ──────────────────────────────────── • Close > highest high of the prior 20 bars (confirmed breakout) • Volume >= 1.5× the 20-bar average (institutional participation) • RSI > 50 (momentum regime, not just mean reversion bounce) • Close > 50-period EMA (trend aligned — avoids counter-trend fades) ATR-Based Dynamic Stoploss -------------------------- The custom_stoploss() override replaces the static -10 % fallback with an ATR-proportional stop that adapts to live volatility: Phase Condition Stop distance ───────── ───────────────────── ────────────── Initial Any open trade ATR × 1.5 Profitable Profit > 0 ATR × 1.5 (trailing from current rate) Well in Profit > ATR×2 / entry ATR × 0.8 (tightened to protect gains) This means: • In a highly volatile market (large ATR), the stop is wider — reducing the chance of being shaken out by normal fluctuations. • In a calm market (small ATR), the stop is tighter — appropriate risk. • Once a trade is well in profit (> 2× ATR), the stop tightens significantly to lock in a larger portion of the gain. Position Sizing Note (for manual risk management) -------------------------------------------------- The ATR-based stop enables precise position sizing: Position Size (units) = Account Risk Amount / (ATR × multiplier) Example: $10 000 account, 1 % risk = $100 risk budget ATR = $500, multiplier = 1.5 → stop distance = $750 Position = $100 / $750 = 0.133 units of the asset This ensures consistent percentage-of-account risk regardless of volatility. Risk Parameters --------------- Stoploss (fallback) : -10 % (overridden by custom_stoploss in practice) use_custom_stoploss : True ROI schedule : 12 % immediately, 6 % after 8h, 3 % after 16h Halal Compliance ---------------- ✓ SPOT trading only ✓ No leverage or margin ✓ No short selling ✓ No interest-bearing instruments """ from datetime import datetime, timedelta from typing import Optional import numpy as np import pandas as pd import pandas_ta as ta from freqtrade.strategy import IStrategy, DecimalParameter, IntParameter from freqtrade.persistence import Trade # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Helper utilities # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- def crossed_above(s1: pd.Series, s2: pd.Series) -> pd.Series: """Return True on bars where s1 crosses above s2.""" return (s1 > s2) & (s1.shift(1) <= s2.shift(1)) def crossed_below(s1: pd.Series, s2: pd.Series) -> pd.Series: """Return True on bars where s1 crosses below s2.""" return (s1 < s2) & (s1.shift(1) >= s2.shift(1)) # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Strategy # --------------------------------------------------------------------------- class Strategy14_ATR_Breakout(IStrategy): """ ATR Volatility Breakout — Donchian breakout filtered by volume, RSI, and EMA, with ATR-proportional dynamic stoploss. See module docstring for full description. """ INTERFACE_VERSION = 3 # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Metadata # ------------------------------------------------------------------ timeframe = "4h" can_short = False # SPOT only # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # ROI — trend trades need time; allow multi-day holds # ------------------------------------------------------------------ minimal_roi = { "0": 0.12, # 12 % immediately (large move target) "120": 0.06, # 6 % after 8h (2 candles × 4h) "240": 0.03, # 3 % after 16h (4 candles × 4h) } # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Stoploss — large fallback; actual stop set by custom_stoploss # ------------------------------------------------------------------ stoploss = -0.10 trailing_stop = False use_custom_stoploss = True # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Startup candle count — need 50+ bars for EMA and Donchian lookback # ------------------------------------------------------------------ startup_candle_count = 60 # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Hyper-opt parameters # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # ATR period atr_period = IntParameter(10, 20, default=14, space="buy", optimize=True) # Donchian breakout lookback donchian_period = IntParameter(10, 30, default=20, space="buy", optimize=True) # Volume multiplier for entry confirmation vol_mult = DecimalParameter(1.2, 2.5, default=1.5, decimals=1, space="buy", optimize=True) # EMA length for trend filter ema_length = IntParameter(30, 100, default=50, space="buy", optimize=True) # ATR multiplier for initial stop atr_initial_mult = DecimalParameter(1.0, 3.0, default=1.5, decimals=1, space="sell", optimize=True) # ATR multiplier when trade is well in profit atr_tight_mult = DecimalParameter(0.5, 1.5, default=0.8, decimals=1, space="sell", optimize=True) # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Indicator population # ------------------------------------------------------------------ def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: """ Compute all breakout and trend indicators. Columns added ------------- atr : 14-period Average True Range ema50 : 50-period EMA (trend filter) highest_high : Rolling max of high over last 20 bars (shifted by 1) vol_ma : 20-bar volume SMA vol_ratio : Current volume / vol_ma rsi : 14-period RSI breakout : True when close > prior 20-bar highest high """ atr_p = self.atr_period.value don_p = self.donchian_period.value # -- ATR ----------------------------------------------------------- dataframe["atr"] = ta.atr( dataframe["high"], dataframe["low"], dataframe["close"], length=atr_p ) # -- Trend filter -------------------------------------------------- dataframe["ema50"] = ta.ema(dataframe["close"], length=self.ema_length.value) # -- Donchian highest high (exclude current bar) ------------------- # .shift(1) ensures we use data UP TO (not including) the current bar, # preventing lookahead bias on the breakout condition. dataframe["highest_high"] = ( dataframe["high"].shift(1).rolling(window=don_p).max() ) # -- Volume analysis ----------------------------------------------- dataframe["vol_ma"] = dataframe["volume"].rolling(window=20).mean() dataframe["vol_ratio"] = dataframe["volume"] / dataframe["vol_ma"] # -- RSI ----------------------------------------------------------- dataframe["rsi"] = ta.rsi(dataframe["close"], length=14) # -- Breakout flag ------------------------------------------------- dataframe["breakout"] = dataframe["close"] > dataframe["highest_high"] # --- NaN Safety: convert any None to NaN so pandas comparisons work --- for col in dataframe.columns: if col not in ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume', 'date']: try: dataframe[col] = pd.to_numeric(dataframe[col], errors='coerce') except (ValueError, TypeError): pass return dataframe # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Entry signals # ------------------------------------------------------------------ def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: """ Entry requires ALL four conditions simultaneously: 1. Confirmed close-above-high breakout (Donchian 20) 2. Volume >= vol_mult × 20-bar average (institutional participation) 3. RSI > 50 (momentum regime) 4. Close > 50-period EMA (trend aligned, avoid counter-trend) A single entry per breakout event is natural since the stoploss and ROI schedule manage the trade thereafter. """ dataframe.loc[ ( dataframe["breakout"] & (dataframe["vol_ratio"] >= self.vol_mult.value) & (dataframe["rsi"] > 50) & (dataframe["close"] > dataframe["ema50"]) & dataframe["atr"].notna() & dataframe["ema50"].notna() & dataframe["highest_high"].notna() ), "enter_long" ] = 1 return dataframe # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Exit signals # ------------------------------------------------------------------ def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: """ Signal-based exits complement the custom stoploss: • Price falls back below the 50 EMA — trend is broken. • RSI drops below 40 — momentum has reversed. • Price closes back inside the Donchian channel (false breakout). The custom_stoploss handles the primary ATR-based exit, and the ROI schedule captures profit targets. """ dataframe.loc[ ( # Trend filter broken crossed_below(dataframe["close"], dataframe["ema50"]) ) | ( # Momentum reversed (dataframe["rsi"] < 40) ) | ( # Breakout failed — price closed back below prior high (dataframe["close"] < dataframe["highest_high"]) & (~dataframe["breakout"]) ), "exit_long" ] = 1 return dataframe # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Custom stoploss — ATR-proportional, adaptive to profit phase # ------------------------------------------------------------------ def custom_stoploss( self, pair: str, trade: Trade, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, current_profit: float, **kwargs, ) -> float: """ Replace the static stoploss with an ATR-proportional stop. Logic ----- Phase 1 — Initial (any profit state): Stop distance = ATR × 1.5 / current_rate Phase 2 — Well profitable (profit > 2 × ATR / entry_rate): Stop distance = ATR × 0.8 / current_rate (tightened) The returned value is a negative fraction of current_rate. Freqtrade interprets it as a relative distance from current price. Returns the most conservative (widest) of: • ATR-based calculation • The strategy's static stoploss (-10 %) to prevent runaway losses if ATR data is unavailable. """ dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair, self.timeframe) if dataframe is None or dataframe.empty: return self.stoploss # fallback to static last_candle = dataframe.iloc[-1] atr = last_candle.get("atr", None) if atr is None or np.isnan(atr) or atr <= 0 or current_rate <= 0: return self.stoploss # fallback to static initial_mult = self.atr_initial_mult.value tight_mult = self.atr_tight_mult.value # Threshold: profit exceeds 2 ATR relative to entry profit_threshold = (atr * 2.0) / trade.open_rate if current_profit > profit_threshold: # Well in profit — tighten to protect gains sl_distance = atr * tight_mult / current_rate else: # Standard ATR stop sl_distance = atr * initial_mult / current_rate # Return negative (stoploss below current price) # Cap at the static fallback to avoid excessively wide stops return max(-sl_distance, self.stoploss) |
Strategy League — fixed backtest that feeds the ranking
Export report Freqtrade logsRun finished · took 15.0s
ℹ️ This strategy uses custom_stoploss() — freqtrade only
re-checks these once per 4h candle by default, not against the price movement within it.
For a more accurate read, re-run this backtest locally with --timeframe-detail 1m
(or 5m — freqtrade's own docs use 5m detail for an hourly strategy as a lighter
alternative). Freqle doesn't do this for every check here: multiplying every
League/sweep backtest by a finer detail timeframe is more compute than the sandbox can sustain
across every indexed strategy. why this matters →
- profit isn't statistically significant (p=1.00) — hard to tell apart from luck
- only 0% of resampled runs were profitable
- profitable in only 0% of rolling 3-month windows
- did not beat simply holding the market
- very deep drawdown (-90%)
Resampling the trade sequence 2,000× shows the spread of results this edge could plausibly produce — separating a dependable strategy from one that got lucky once.
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Monthly breakdown
| Month | Regime | Trades | Profit % | Avg % | Win | Loss | Win % | DD % | Avg dur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2021 | bearish choppy high vol | 81 | -20.55 | -2.54 | 13 | 68 | 16.0 | -90.4 | 2h 04m |
| Mar 2021 | bullish choppy high vol | 169 | -23.35 | -1.38 | 38 | 131 | 22.5 | -71.37 | 2h 29m |
| Feb 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 178 | -27.54 | -1.55 | 45 | 133 | 25.3 | -47.74 | 2h 01m |
| Jan 2021 | bullish trending high vol | 192 | -18.84 | -0.98 | 59 | 133 | 30.7 | -22.4 | 1h 48m |
Trade charts — best 2 and worst 2 performing pairs (full OHLC candles are expensive to render for every pair)
Backtests — over a market period
Backtest this strategy over a chosen crypto-cycle period. These don't affect the League ranking, and need that period's candle data downloaded.
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| Period | Range | Total % | Win % | Max DD | Trades | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · DeFi Summer & Pre-Halving Rally | 20200101-20210101 | not run | ||||
| 2021 · Institutional Bull Market | 20210101-20220101 | not run | ||||
| 2022 · Post-Bull Crash & Macro Tightening | 20220101-20230101 | not run | ||||
| 2023–2024 · Recovery & ETF Anticipation | 20230101-20250101 | not run | ||||
| 2025–2026 · Current Cycle | 20250101-20260101 | not run | ||||
Walk forward
Out-of-sample backtest on recent data · 33 pairs · 20260101-20260701.
Backtest trust check
no lookahead-bias patterns detected
ran by Ron · took s
Lookahead analysis
freqtrade lookahead-analysis: detects strategies peeking at future candles.