HurstCycleV5
♡
Basics
mode: futures
timeframe: 1h
Settings
stoploss: -0.99
has minimal roi
trailing
dca
hyperopt
hyperopt params: 3
Indicators
Heikin_Ashi
RSI
pandas_ta
scipy
talib
technical
Concepts
dca
trailing
8 related strategies (⧉ identical code, ≈ similar name)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 | import math import numpy as np from freqtrade.strategy import IStrategy import pandas as pd import talib from scipy.fft import fft from technical import qtpylib from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Union from datetime import datetime, timedelta from freqtrade.persistence import Trade from freqtrade.strategy import (BooleanParameter, CategoricalParameter, DecimalParameter, IStrategy, IntParameter, RealParameter, merge_informative_pair) import pandas_ta as pta from datetime import datetime, timedelta from freqtrade.persistence import Trade import pandas_ta as pta import logging logger = logging.getLogger(__name__) class HurstCycleV5(IStrategy): timeframe = '1h' minimal_roi = {"0": 1} stoploss = -0.99 trailing_stop = False trailing_stop_positive = 0.04 can_short = True position_adjustment_enable = True base_cycle_period = 20 filter_weights = [1, 2, 4, 8, 4] # New parameter for convergence threshold (tunable) convergence_threshold = 0.005 # 0.5% of price as max spread ### Hyperoptable parameters ### u_window_size = IntParameter(70, 150, default=250, space='buy', optimize=True, load=True) l_window_size = IntParameter(20, 50, default=42, space='buy', optimize=True, load=True) rsi_period = IntParameter(7, 21, default=21, space="buy", optimize=True, load=True) def custom_stake_amount(self, pair: str, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, proposed_stake: float, min_stake: float, max_stake: float, leverage: float, entry_tag: Optional[str], side: str, **kwargs) -> float: # Dividiamo lo stake proposto in tre parti uguali return proposed_stake / 3 def adjust_trade_position(self, trade: Trade, current_time: datetime, current_rate: float, current_profit: float, min_stake: float, max_stake: float, **kwargs) -> Optional[float]: dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(trade.pair, self.timeframe) last_candle = dataframe.iloc[-1].squeeze() trade_duration = (current_time - trade.open_date_utc).seconds / 60 # Contiamo il numero di ordini già eseguiti per questo trade filled_entries = trade.nr_of_successful_entries # Se abbiamo già 3 entrate, non ne aggiungiamo altre if filled_entries >= 3: return None if current_profit > 0: return None # Verifichiamo il tempo trascorso dall'ultima entrata if filled_entries > 0 and trade_duration < 240: return None if filled_entries > 1 and trade_duration < 240 * 1.5: return None if filled_entries > 2 and trade_duration < 240 * 2.25: return None # Verifichiamo se ci sono segnali di entrata nelle ultime candele long_entry_signals = dataframe['enter_long'].rolling(window=3).sum().iloc[-1] short_entry_signals = dataframe['enter_short'].rolling(window=3).sum().iloc[-1] # Se abbiamo segnali di entrata e il prezzo è sotto il VTL up if not trade.is_short and long_entry_signals > 0: logger.info(f"{trade.pair} DCA Long Signal Detected") # Calcoliamo il nuovo stake (uguale allo stake iniziale) return trade.stake_amount if trade.is_short and short_entry_signals > 0: logger.info(f"{trade.pair} DCA Short Signal Detected") # Calcoliamo il nuovo stake (uguale allo stake iniziale) return trade.stake_amount return None def linear_regression_channel(self, data: pd.Series, window: int, num_dev: float): """ Calcola la linea di regressione e il canale di deviazione standard (bande superiore e inferiore). :param data: Serie di dati (prezzi di chiusura) :param window: Lunghezza della finestra di regressione :param num_dev: Numero di deviazioni standard per le bande :return: Linea centrale (regressione), banda superiore e banda inferiore """ # Lista per contenere i valori di output lr_channel = {'mid': [], 'upper': [], 'lower': []} for i in range(window, len(data)): # Seleziona la finestra corrente y = data[i-window:i] # Calcola l'indice del tempo per la finestra x = np.arange(window) # Regressione lineare sui dati della finestra A = np.vstack([x, np.ones(len(x))]).T slope, intercept = np.linalg.lstsq(A, y, rcond=None)[0] # Calcola la linea centrale (y = mx + b) y_line = intercept + slope * x[-1] # Calcola la deviazione standard residuals = y - (intercept + slope * x) std_dev = np.std(residuals) # Linea centrale, banda superiore e inferiore lr_channel['mid'].append(y_line) lr_channel['upper'].append(y_line + num_dev * std_dev) lr_channel['lower'].append(y_line - num_dev * std_dev) # Riempire i valori iniziali con NaN per mantenere la lunghezza della serie uguale lr_channel['mid'] = [np.nan] * window + lr_channel['mid'] lr_channel['upper'] = [np.nan] * window + lr_channel['upper'] lr_channel['lower'] = [np.nan] * window + lr_channel['lower'] return pd.DataFrame(lr_channel) def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: pair = metadata['pair'] # Heikin-Ashi Candles heikinashi = qtpylib.heikinashi(dataframe) dataframe['ha_open'] = heikinashi['open'] dataframe['ha_close'] = heikinashi['close'] dataframe['ha_high'] = heikinashi['high'] dataframe['ha_low'] = heikinashi['low'] # Initialize Hurst Cycles cycle_period = 80 harmonics = [0, 0, 0] harmonics[0] = 40 harmonics[1] = 27 harmonics[2] = 20 if len(dataframe) < self.u_window_size.value: raise ValueError(f"Insufficient data points for FFT: {len(dataframe)}. Need at least {self.u_window_size.value} data points.") # Perform FFT freq, power = perform_fft(dataframe['ha_close'], window_size=self.u_window_size.value) if len(freq) == 0 or len(power) == 0: raise ValueError("FFT resulted in zero or invalid frequencies.") positive_mask = (1 / freq > self.l_window_size.value) & (1 / freq < self.u_window_size.value) positive_freqs = freq[positive_mask] positive_power = power[positive_mask] if len(positive_power) == 0: raise ValueError("No positive frequencies meet the filtering criteria.") cycle_periods = 1 / positive_freqs power_threshold = 0 if len(positive_power) == 0 else 0.01 * np.max(positive_power) significant_indices = positive_power > power_threshold significant_periods = cycle_periods[significant_indices] significant_power = positive_power[significant_indices] dominant_freq_index = np.argmax(significant_power) dominant_freq = positive_freqs[dominant_freq_index] cycle_period = int(np.abs(1 / dominant_freq)) if dominant_freq != 0 else 100 if cycle_period == np.inf: raise ValueError("No dominant frequency found.") harmonics = [cycle_period / (i + 1) for i in range(1, 4)] self.cp = int(cycle_period) self.h0 = int(harmonics[0]) self.h1 = int(harmonics[1]) self.h2 = int(harmonics[2]) # EWMA for cycles dataframe['cp'] = dataframe['ha_close'].ewm(span=self.cp).mean() dataframe['h0'] = dataframe['ha_close'].ewm(span=self.h0).mean() dataframe['h1'] = dataframe['ha_close'].ewm(span=self.h1).mean() dataframe['h2'] = dataframe['ha_close'].ewm(span=self.h2).mean() # Peak-to-Peak Movement rolling_windowc = dataframe['ha_close'].rolling(self.cp) rolling_windowh0 = dataframe['ha_close'].rolling(self.h0) rolling_windowh1 = dataframe['ha_close'].rolling(self.h1) rolling_windowh2 = dataframe['ha_close'].rolling(self.h2) ptp_valuec = rolling_windowc.apply(lambda x: np.ptp(x)) ptp_valueh0 = rolling_windowh0.apply(lambda x: np.ptp(x)) ptp_valueh1 = rolling_windowh1.apply(lambda x: np.ptp(x)) ptp_valueh2 = rolling_windowh2.apply(lambda x: np.ptp(x)) dataframe['cycle_move'] = ptp_valuec / dataframe['ha_close'] dataframe['h0_move'] = ptp_valueh0 / dataframe['ha_close'] dataframe['h1_move'] = ptp_valueh1 / dataframe['ha_close'] dataframe['h2_move'] = ptp_valueh2 / dataframe['ha_close'] dataframe['cycle_move_mean'] = dataframe['cycle_move'].rolling(self.cp).mean() dataframe['h0_move_mean'] = dataframe['h0_move'].rolling(self.cp).mean() dataframe['h1_move_mean'] = dataframe['h1_move'].rolling(self.cp).mean() dataframe['h2_move_mean'] = dataframe['h2_move'].rolling(self.cp).mean() # Numerical Filter close = dataframe['ha_close'].values weights = np.array(self.filter_weights) / sum(self.filter_weights) filtered = np.convolve(close, weights, mode='valid') dataframe['filtered_close'] = pd.Series(filtered, index=dataframe.index[-len(filtered):]) # FLDs half_short = math.ceil(self.h2 / 2) half_mid = math.ceil(self.h0 / 2) half_long = math.ceil(self.cp / 2) fld_short_base = dataframe['filtered_close'].rolling(window=self.h2, center=True).mean() fld_mid_base = dataframe['filtered_close'].rolling(window=self.h0, center=True).mean() fld_long_base = dataframe['filtered_close'].rolling(window=self.cp, center=True).mean() dataframe['fld_short'] = fld_short_base.shift(half_short) dataframe['fld_mid'] = fld_mid_base.shift(half_mid) dataframe['fld_long'] = fld_long_base.shift(half_long) for fld in ['fld_short', 'fld_mid', 'fld_long']: last_valid_idx = dataframe[fld].last_valid_index() if last_valid_idx is not None: last_valid_row = dataframe.index.get_loc(last_valid_idx) if last_valid_row < len(dataframe) - 1 and last_valid_row > 0: for i in range(last_valid_row + 1, len(dataframe)): prev_slope = (dataframe[fld].iloc[last_valid_row] - dataframe[fld].iloc[last_valid_row - 1]) dataframe[fld].iloc[i] = dataframe[fld].iloc[last_valid_row] + \ prev_slope * (i - last_valid_row) # Convergence-Based Agreeance Band # Calculate spread between FLDs fld_spread = dataframe[['fld_short', 'fld_mid', 'fld_long']].max(axis=1) - \ dataframe[['fld_short', 'fld_mid', 'fld_long']].min(axis=1) # Relative spread as a percentage of current price relative_spread = fld_spread / dataframe['filtered_close'] # Define convergence condition dataframe['converging'] = relative_spread < self.convergence_threshold # Agreeance Band: Mean of FLDs ± a small buffer when converging band_center = dataframe[['fld_short', 'fld_mid', 'fld_long']].mean(axis=1) band_width = dataframe['filtered_close'] * 0.01 # 1% of price as buffer dataframe['agreeance_upper'] = np.where(dataframe['converging'], band_center + band_width, np.nan) dataframe['agreeance_lower'] = np.where(dataframe['converging'], band_center - band_width, np.nan) # Troughs and Crests dataframe['trough'] = dataframe['filtered_close'].rolling(self.h2).min() dataframe['crest'] = dataframe['filtered_close'].rolling(self.h2).max() dataframe['is_trough'] = np.where(dataframe['filtered_close'] == dataframe['trough'], 1, 0) dataframe['is_crest'] = np.where(dataframe['filtered_close'] == dataframe['crest'], 1, 0) # VTL based on last two troughs/crests # Initialize VTL columns dataframe['vtl_up'] = np.nan dataframe['vtl_down'] = np.nan # Group troughs and crests within a window (self.h2 candles) group_window = self.h2 trough_groups = [] crest_groups = [] current_trough_group = [] current_crest_group = [] last_trough_idx = None last_crest_idx = None # Identify trough and crest groups for idx in dataframe.index: if dataframe.at[idx, 'is_trough'] == 1: if last_trough_idx is None or (dataframe.index.get_loc(idx) - dataframe.index.get_loc(last_trough_idx)) <= group_window: current_trough_group.append(idx) else: if len(current_trough_group) > 0: prices = [dataframe.at[i, 'filtered_close'] for i in current_trough_group] min_idx = current_trough_group[np.argmin(prices)] trough_groups.append(min_idx) current_trough_group = [idx] last_trough_idx = idx if dataframe.at[idx, 'is_crest'] == 1: if last_crest_idx is None or (dataframe.index.get_loc(idx) - dataframe.index.get_loc(last_crest_idx)) <= group_window: current_crest_group.append(idx) else: if len(current_crest_group) > 0: prices = [dataframe.at[i, 'filtered_close'] for i in current_crest_group] max_idx = current_crest_group[np.argmax(prices)] crest_groups.append(max_idx) current_crest_group = [idx] last_crest_idx = idx # Add final groups if len(current_trough_group) > 0: prices = [dataframe.at[i, 'filtered_close'] for i in current_trough_group] min_idx = current_trough_group[np.argmin(prices)] trough_groups.append(min_idx) if len(current_crest_group) > 0: prices = [dataframe.at[i, 'filtered_close'] for i in current_crest_group] max_idx = current_crest_group[np.argmax(prices)] crest_groups.append(max_idx) # Price bounds price_min = dataframe['filtered_close'].min() price_max = dataframe['filtered_close'].max() # Store VTL segments: [start_idx, end_idx, slope, intercept] up_vtl_segments = [] down_vtl_segments = [] # Create VTL segments for trough groups for i in range(1, len(trough_groups)): x1 = dataframe.index.get_loc(trough_groups[i-1]) y1 = dataframe.at[trough_groups[i-1], 'filtered_close'] x2 = dataframe.index.get_loc(trough_groups[i]) y2 = dataframe.at[trough_groups[i], 'filtered_close'] slope = (y2 - y1) / (x2 - x1) if x2 != x1 else 0 intercept = y1 - slope * x1 up_vtl_segments.append([trough_groups[i-1], None, slope, intercept]) # Create VTL segments for crest groups for i in range(1, len(crest_groups)): x1 = dataframe.index.get_loc(crest_groups[i-1]) y1 = dataframe.at[crest_groups[i-1], 'filtered_close'] x2 = dataframe.index.get_loc(crest_groups[i]) y2 = dataframe.at[crest_groups[i], 'filtered_close'] slope = (y2 - y1) / (x2 - x1) if x2 != x1 else 0 intercept = y1 - slope * x1 down_vtl_segments.append([crest_groups[i-1], None, slope, intercept]) # Apply VTL segments across the DataFrame for idx in dataframe.index: current_x = dataframe.index.get_loc(idx) current_price = dataframe.at[idx, 'filtered_close'] # Apply vtl_up for i, segment in enumerate(up_vtl_segments): start_idx, end_idx, slope, intercept = segment if idx >= start_idx and (end_idx is None or idx <= end_idx): vtl_value = slope * current_x + intercept if price_min <= vtl_value <= price_max: dataframe.at[idx, 'vtl_up'] = vtl_value # Check for break (price below VTL) if current_price < vtl_value and i + 1 < len(up_vtl_segments): segment[1] = idx # End this segment else: segment[1] = idx if end_idx is None else end_idx # Apply vtl_down for i, segment in enumerate(down_vtl_segments): start_idx, end_idx, slope, intercept = segment if idx >= start_idx and (end_idx is None or idx <= end_idx): vtl_value = slope * current_x + intercept if price_min <= vtl_value <= price_max: dataframe.at[idx, 'vtl_down'] = vtl_value # Check for break (price above VTL) if current_price > vtl_value and i + 1 < len(down_vtl_segments): segment[1] = idx else: segment[1] = idx if end_idx is None else end_idx # Slopes for cycle sync dataframe['fld_short_slope'] = dataframe['fld_short'].diff() dataframe['fld_mid_slope'] = dataframe['fld_mid'].diff() dataframe['fld_long_slope'] = dataframe['fld_long'].diff() # Trend dataframe['trend'] = np.where(dataframe['filtered_close'] > dataframe['cp'], 1, -1) dataframe['rsi'] = pta.rsi(dataframe['close'], length=self.rsi_period.value) dataframe['rsi_fast'] = pta.rsi(dataframe['close'], length=4) dataframe['rsi1'] = ((pta.rsi(dataframe['close'], length=self.rsi_period.value*4) -50) *2.15) +50 dataframe['rsi4'] = ((pta.rsi(dataframe['close'], length=self.rsi_period.value*4*4) -50) *3.75) +50 dataframe['rsi8'] = ((pta.rsi(dataframe['close'], length=self.rsi_period.value*4*8) -50) *5) +50 regression_channel = self.linear_regression_channel(dataframe['rsi_fast'], window=150, num_dev=1.0) dataframe['lr_mid_rsi'] = regression_channel['mid'] dataframe['lr_upper_rsi'] = regression_channel['upper'] dataframe['lr_lower_rsi'] = regression_channel['lower'] return dataframe def populate_entry_trend(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: dataframe.loc[ # (dataframe['is_trough'] == 1) & # (dataframe['filtered_close'] < dataframe['fld_short']) & # (dataframe['filtered_close'] < dataframe['agreeance_lower']) & # (dataframe['converging'] == True) & # (dataframe['trend'] == 1) & ~(dataframe['vtl_up'] > dataframe['vtl_down']) & (dataframe['lr_mid_rsi'] < 35) & (dataframe['close'].rolling(5).min() < dataframe['vtl_up']) & (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['vtl_up']), 'enter_long'] = 1 dataframe.loc[ # (dataframe['is_trough'] == 1) & # (dataframe['filtered_close'] < dataframe['fld_short']) & # (dataframe['filtered_close'] < dataframe['agreeance_lower']) & # (dataframe['converging'] == True) & # (dataframe['trend'] == 1) & ~(dataframe['vtl_up'] > dataframe['vtl_down']) & (dataframe['lr_mid_rsi'] > 65) & (dataframe['close'].rolling(5).max() > dataframe['vtl_down']) & (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['vtl_down']), 'enter_short'] = 1 return dataframe def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: pd.DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> pd.DataFrame: dataframe.loc[ # (dataframe['enter_long'].shift(1) == 1) & (dataframe['close'] > dataframe['vtl_down']), 'exit_long'] = 1 dataframe.loc[ # (dataframe['enter_long'].shift(1) == 1) & (dataframe['close'] < dataframe['vtl_up']), 'exit_short'] = 1 return dataframe def leverage(self, pair: str, current_time, current_rate: float, proposed_leverage: float, max_leverage: float, side: str, **kwargs) -> float: return 5.0 def perform_fft(price_data, window_size=None): if window_size is not None: price_data = price_data.rolling(window=window_size, center=True).mean().dropna() normalized_data = (price_data - np.mean(price_data)) / np.std(price_data) n = len(normalized_data) fft_data = np.fft.fft(normalized_data) freq = np.fft.fftfreq(n) power = np.abs(fft_data) ** 2 power[np.isinf(power)] = 0 return freq, power |
Strategy League — fixed backtest that feeds the ranking
Failed — timed out after 1200s (strategy too complex/slow for the sandbox)
Backtests — over a market period
Backtest this strategy over a chosen crypto-cycle period. These don't affect the League ranking, and need that period's candle data downloaded.
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| Period | Range | Total % | Win % | Max DD | Trades | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · DeFi Summer & Pre-Halving Rally | 20200101-20210101 | not run | ||||
| 2021 · Institutional Bull Market | 20210101-20220101 | not run | ||||
| 2022 · Post-Bull Crash & Macro Tightening | 20220101-20230101 | not run | ||||
| 2023–2024 · Recovery & ETF Anticipation | 20230101-20250101 | not run | ||||
| 2025–2026 · Current Cycle | 20250101-20260101 | not run | ||||
Walk forward
Out-of-sample backtest on recent data · 33 pairs · 20260101-20260701.
Backtest trust check
Static source analysis — instant, does not run the strategy. Flags future-data leaks, backtest-realism problems, and indicators worth a second look.
Lookahead analysis
freqtrade lookahead-analysis: detects strategies peeking at future candles.